Opponent State Inference Under Partial Observability: An HMM-POMDP Framework for 2026 Formula 1 Energy Strategy
This paper proposes a tractable two-layer framework combining a Hidden Markov Model for inferring rival energy states and a Deep Q-Network for decision-making to optimize 2026 Formula 1 energy strategies under partial observability, specifically addressing the "counter-harvest trap" where opponents deliberately mask their deployment signals.