Doubly-Robust Functional Average Treatment Effect Estimation

This paper introduces DR-FoS, a novel doubly-robust estimator for the Functional Average Treatment Effect (FATE) that ensures consistent estimation and valid simultaneous inference even when either the outcome or treatment assignment model is misspecified, demonstrating its effectiveness through simulations and a real-world application to the SHARE dataset.

Lorenzo Testa, Tobia Boschi, Francesca Chiaromonte, Edward H. Kennedy, Matthew ReimherrTue, 10 Ma🔢 math

Scalable multitask Gaussian processes for complex mechanical systems with functional covariates

This paper introduces a scalable multitask Gaussian process model with a fully separable kernel structure that effectively handles functional covariates and correlated tasks, demonstrating superior accuracy and computational efficiency over single-task approaches in predicting the behavior of complex mechanical systems like riveted assemblies with limited data.

Razak Christophe Sabi Gninkou (UPHF, INSA Hauts-De-France, CERAMATHS), Andrés F. López-Lopera (IMAG, LEMON, UM), Franck Massa (LAMIH, INSA Hauts-De-France, UPHF), Rodolphe Le Riche (LIMOS, UCA [2017-2020], ENSM ST-ETIENNE, CNRS)Tue, 10 Ma🔢 math

Nuisance Function Tuning and Sample Splitting for Optimally Estimating a Doubly Robust Functional

This paper demonstrates that by strategically combining sample splitting with specific nuisance function tuning strategies (such as undersmoothing or oversmoothing), both plug-in and first-order bias-corrected estimators can achieve minimax rates of convergence for doubly robust functionals across all Hölder smoothness classes, overcoming limitations of existing literature.

Sean McGrath, Rajarshi MukherjeeTue, 10 Ma🔢 math

Group-Sparse Smoothing for Longitudinal Models with Time-Varying Coefficients

This paper proposes TV-Select, a unified framework that simultaneously identifies relevant variables and distinguishes between constant and time-varying effects in longitudinal models by employing a doubly penalized B-spline approach with group Lasso and roughness penalties to achieve accurate structural recovery, smooth estimation, and improved predictive performance.

Yu Lu, Tianni Zhang, Yuyao Wang, Mengfei RanTue, 10 Ma🔢 math

Integrating Heterogeneous Information in Randomized Experiments: A Unified Calibration Framework

This paper proposes a unified calibration framework that integrates heterogeneous internal and auxiliary information into randomized experiments under covariate-adaptive randomization via convex optimization, ensuring asymptotic validity and a no-harm efficiency guarantee while accommodating scenarios with growing numbers of strata and information sources.

Wei Ma, Zeqi Wu, Zheng ZhangTue, 10 Ma🔢 math

Bayesian inference of planted matchings: Local posterior approximation and infinite-volume limit

This paper establishes that for Bayesian inference of planted matchings between correlated 1D point sets under critical scaling, the posterior distribution admits a local approximation with a well-defined infinite-volume limit in the partial matching case, whereas the exact matching case requires global sorting and a flow-based indexing to define its asymptotic marginal statistics.

Zhou Fan, Timothy L. H. Wee, Kaylee Y. YangTue, 10 Ma🔢 math