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Investigating Students' Critical Thinking Development in Data-Driven Statistical Decision Making through Mindtools-Based Learning Game Interactions

This quasi-experimental study demonstrates that a spreadsheet-based learning game designed as a Mindtool significantly enhances undergraduate students' critical thinking skills and evolves their decision-making processes from reliance on single indicators to reflective evidence evaluation in data-driven statistical contexts.

BUDI SASOMO, Cholis Sa’dijah, Lathiful Anwar, Rustanto Rahardi, Sisworo Sisworo, Tomi Listiawan, Siti Faizah, Abdul Qoha (…)2026-08-13
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Data-Driven Spatial Weight Matrices for Space-Time Autoregressive Models: A Similarity-Based Framework with an Application to Global Temperature Dynamics

This paper proposes a data-driven framework for constructing spatial weight matrices based on statistical similarity rather than geographical proximity to enhance Space-Time Autoregressive models, demonstrating through global temperature analysis that similarity-based specifications, particularly those using Hamming distance, significantly improve forecasting accuracy compared to conventional contiguity-based approaches.

Edoardo Otranto2026-08-13
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Assessing Feature Selection Strategies in INLA: TraditionalStepwise Regression versus Machine Learning

This study demonstrates that integrating machine learning-based feature selection (specifically BART and SVR) with Bayesian hierarchical spatial models (INLA-SPDE) significantly outperforms traditional stepwise regression in reducing prediction error and bias, thereby yielding more accurate small-area estimates with well-calibrated uncertainty.

Xiangyue Huo, Chibuzor Christopher Nnanatu2026-08-13
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Robustness of sustainable aviation fuel supplier rankings under alternative fuzzy representations and MCDM methods

This study validates the robustness of SAF1 as the top-ranked sustainable aviation fuel supplier across various fuzzy representations and MCDM methods, while highlighting that although the leading candidate remains consistent, the complete supplier ordering varies and should be treated as a priority for further due diligence rather than an automatic selection.

Büşra ALTINKAYNAK2026-08-13
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Agreement Between Fitzpatrick-17k Skin-Type Labels Is Metric- and Stratum-Dependent: A Chance-Corrected Reanalysis

This paper reanalyzes the Fitzpatrick-17k dataset using chance-corrected statistics to demonstrate that label agreement between annotation sources is highly dependent on the chosen metric and skin-type stratum, revealing significant discrepancies—particularly for darker skin tones—that necessitate transparent reporting of methodology and per-stratum confidence intervals in dermatology AI research.

Niya Pennie2026-08-13
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Psychometric Validation and Cultural Adaptation of the Household Water Insecurity Experiences (HWISE) Scale in Ethiopia using Horn’s Parallel Analysis Method

This study successfully culturally adapted and psychometrically validated the Household Water Insecurity Experiences (HWISE) scale for Sidaamu Afoo-speaking women in Ethiopia, demonstrating its unidimensional structure, high reliability, and strong validity through Horn's Parallel Analysis and other statistical methods.

Adane Ermias, Sirak Robele Gari, Bizatu Mengiste, Argaw Ambelu2026-08-12
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Modelling and Projecting Urban Population Growth in Somalia (1960–2050): A Comparative Analysis of Time Series Models

This study utilizes historical data from 1960 to 2024 and compares six time-series models to project Somalia's urban population, identifying TBATS and ARIMA as robust forecasting tools that predict the urban population will more than double to 22.2 million by 2050, thereby underscoring the urgent need for proactive urban planning.

Eng.ahmed Abdirahmaan Ibrahim2026-08-11
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Structural Mediation and Knowledge Integration in Interdisciplinary Research

This study reveals that in interdisciplinary research, knowledge integration and structural mediation are distinct dimensions with divergent impacts on citation success, as the former does not guarantee a bridging position in citation networks and correlates negatively with citations, while the latter positively predicts citation counts, yet both contribute to cross-field knowledge diffusion.

Shiji Chen, Yuewei Li, Yunlong Yu, Yang Li2026-08-10