Epoch-Level Astrometric Contamination versus False Cross-Epoch Association in Threshold-Limited Proper-Motion Surveys: A Validated Statistical Framework, a Real-Data Provenance Audit, and a Preliminary Multi-Field Test Against Cat WISE2020/unTimely
This paper presents a validated statistical framework and a transparent, partially executed real-data audit to investigate whether underestimated proper-motion uncertainties in CatWISE2020 are caused by epoch-level astrometric contamination rather than false cross-epoch associations, ultimately finding heterogeneous results across three test fields that neither confirm nor refute the proposed mechanism under the study's strict pre-registered decision rules.