A Transparent Fuzzy-Inference Layer for Explainable Knowledge Tracing: Why Prerequisite Graphs Must Be Expert-Supplied, and Which T-Norm to Use
This paper demonstrates that prerequisite graphs cannot be reliably inferred from student interaction logs due to ability-difficulty confounds, and instead proposes a transparent, expert-supplied fuzzy-inference layer that, when paired with a reusable localization-audit framework, ensures explainable knowledge tracing with the product t-norm proving optimal for modeling prerequisite effects.