📄 earth_science

Oral histories versus the scientific record in identifying climate trends at Biosphere Reserves in Canada, the USA and Mexico

This study demonstrates that Indigenous and local oral histories generally complement instrumental climate records regarding temperature trends across three North American biosphere reserves, though discrepancies often arise from differences in spatial scale, livelihood-specific sensitivities, and data limitations.

Adam Fenech, Xander Wang, William Gough2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

From the Stratosphere to the Surface: The Case of the April 2025 Wind Extremes in Eastern Asia

This study demonstrates that a major sudden stratospheric warming in March 2025 influenced record-breaking surface wind extremes in Eastern Asia during April 2025 by descending easterlies that reflected planetary waves to intensify the East Asian trough, thereby enhancing short-range forecast skill when stratospheric data is incorporated into deep learning models.

Yueyue Yu, Min Jiao, Haishan Chen, Zhicong Yin, Yang Liu, Bowen Liu, Ke Wei2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

Evaluating the blue carbon benefits of aligning Canada’s biodiversity conservation and climate change mitigation targets

This study presents a national assessment framework for Canada's blue carbon ecosystems, revealing significant carbon stocks and sequestration potential while demonstrating that expanding their protection to 30% by 2030 could yield substantial cumulative climate mitigation benefits by 2050.

Jennifer McHenry, Graham Epstein, Vanessa Valenti, Lauren Shea, Philipe Archembault, Kira A. Krumhansl, Melisa C. Wong (…)2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

Coupling advanced earth observation, Machine learning, GeoAI, and CA-ANN model for assessing Spatio-temporal LULC change in Gilgel Gibe I Watershed, Upper Omo-Gibe Basin, Ethiopia

This study integrates cloud-based remote sensing and a Cellular Automata-Artificial Neural Network (CA-ANN) model to analyze historical and project future Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) changes in Ethiopia's Gilgel Gibe I Watershed, revealing a significant decline in forest and grassland areas alongside rapid expansion of agriculture and built-up zones that threaten ecosystem services and environmental sustainability.

Ermiyas Asfaw Molla, Amanuel Tesfaye Kebebew, Albeza Asfaw Molla, Tilahun Kasa Weldetsadik, Zelalem Abera Angello, Sinta (…)2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

Urban expansion will unevenly amplify heat hazard and exposure within future cities

This study introduces a high-resolution modeling framework to demonstrate that future urban expansion will disproportionately intensify heat hazards in already hot, densely populated urban cores across North America, revealing a critical, localized vulnerability driven by the compounding effects of climate change, demographic shifts, and spatial development.

TC Chakraborty, Timothy Jiang, Jianfeng Li, Yun Qian, L. Ruby Leung2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

Microplastic Contamination in Edible Bivalves and Associated Environmental Health Risks in Coastal Makassar, Indonesia

This study reveals that edible bivalves (*Pilsbryoconcha exilis*) from Makassar's Tallo coast are contaminated with microplastics, primarily blue fibers of PE, PET, and PVC, posing significant dietary health risks—particularly to children—as evidenced by risk quotients and excess cancer risk estimates exceeding safety thresholds.

Shabrina Vashtinia Putri Tryanda, Anwar Mallongi, Ridwan Amiruddin, Agus B. Birawida, Sudirman Nasir, Anwar Daud, Herawa (…)2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

LakeRINO Concentrates Short-Horizon Forecast Accuracy on Low- Water Anomalies from Irregular Satellite Altimetry across China

LakeRINO is a novel forecasting framework that leverages a Continuous-Time Neural Operator and diverse static and temporal features to convert irregular satellite altimetry data into accurate short-horizon lake-level predictions across China, with a demonstrated ability to specifically improve forecast precision during critical low-water anomalies.

Dandan Guo, Donghui Zhang, Chi Luo, Xianxiu Zhou, Dianming Xu2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

From Willingness to Implementation Readiness: Household and Institutional Capacity for Forest-Carbon Pilots in Vietnam

This study of forest-dependent households and officials in Vietnam reveals a significant gap between high willingness to participate in forest-carbon pilots and the limited practical capacity to implement them, highlighting the critical need for targeted training, improved data infrastructure, and staged, performance-tested pilots before scaling up such initiatives.

Hong Linh Dinh, Nguyen Thanh Vu2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

Determinants of Vulnerability and Climate Resilience in Indigenous Carib Communities of St. Vincent and the Grenadines

This study of Indigenous Carib communities in St. Vincent and the Grenadines reveals that social infrastructure, including kinship ties and community organizations, is a more critical determinant of climate resilience and vulnerability than geographic remoteness, highlighting the need to strengthen social networks and local knowledge for effective disaster risk reduction.

Rose-Ann Smith, Robert Kinlocke2026-09-04
📄 earth_science

Local temperatures rapidly depart from historical experience beyond 1.5°C

This study uses a neural network trained on climate simulations to demonstrate that while only a small fraction of the world's land currently experiences temperatures permanently exceeding historical records at 1.5°C of warming, this area expands rapidly with further warming, committing a majority of the global population and most aboveground biomass to unprecedented local temperatures under current policy trajectories by 3°C.

Simon Michel, Hannah Christensen2026-09-04