📄 earth science

Temporal dynamics of energy transition and carbon emissions for ecological footprint in Mozambique

Using an ARDL framework to analyze data from 1985–2015, this study reveals that Mozambique's energy transition does not automatically reduce its ecological footprint, as the shift from traditional biomass to fossil fuels and the early-stage costs of renewable adoption create complex, time-lagged environmental pressures that require strategic policy sequencing beyond simple fuel substitution.

Moses MWESIGE LUKWAGO, John Atsu Agbolosoo, Basil Mugonola, Helder Zavale, Collins Yeboah Asiedu2026-10-20
📄 earth science

Understanding Magnitude Bias in Taiwan's Earthquake Early Warning System: A Case Study of the August 2026 Taitung Offshore Earthquake

This paper analyzes the August 2026 Taitung offshore earthquake to demonstrate that Taiwan's eBEAR system suffers from a systematic magnitude overestimation caused by azimuthal station distribution and radiation pattern effects, leading the authors to propose new quality control gates based on magnitude-station azimuthal coverage and cross-stream agreement rather than traditional epicentral error metrics.

Da-Yi Chen, Yu-Hsuan Chang, Guan-Yi Song2026-10-20
📄 earth science

Socioeconomic and Environmental Vulnerability to Flooding in the Tamale Metropolis of Ghana Using a Composite Index Approach

This study evaluates the socioeconomic and environmental flood vulnerability of Ghana's Tamale Metropolis by developing a composite Flood Vulnerability Index from a household survey, revealing a moderate overall risk level driven primarily by social preparedness gaps that necessitate prioritized investment in community readiness and infrastructure.

Justice Agyei Ampofo2026-10-20
📄 earth science

Gis–Ahp Groundwater Potential Mapping and Sensitivity Analysis for Public Borehole Planning in Ikorodu, Lagos State, Nigeria

This study integrates GIS, Remote Sensing, and AHP-based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis to map groundwater potential in Ikorodu, Lagos, while rigorously validating the model's weighting stability through sensitivity analysis and land cover accuracy assessment to establish a robust, four-tier decision-support framework for public borehole planning.

Oluwayemisi OGUNLEYE, Ademola ADEYEMI2026-10-20
📄 earth science

Occurrence and characterization of microplastics in the surface water of the Tinajillas-Río Gualaceño protected area in Ecuador

This study presents the first characterization of microplastics in the Tinajillas-Río Gualaceño Protected Area in Ecuador, revealing an average concentration of 25 MPs/250 mL dominated by fibers and polymers linked to local tourism and mining activities, thereby highlighting the urgent need for environmental regulations and stakeholder collaboration to address this emerging threat.

Matias Nicolas Cuenca-Castillo, Pablo Arévalo, Linda P. Guamán, Vladimir Akhrimenko, Unax Lertxundi, Gorka Orive2026-10-20
📄 earth science

The Impact of Wintertime NPO on ENSO Triggering

This study reveals that the structural characteristics of the wintertime North Pacific Oscillation (NPO)—specifically its strength and southward position—determine its ability to trigger ENSO events by generating North Pacific Meridional Mode anomalies that propagate to the tropics via the seasonal footprinting mechanism, while also highlighting the critical role of ocean-atmosphere feedbacks in modulating NPO evolution.

Yuhui Zhao, Jiabei Fang, Xiu-Qun Yang, Yanzhu Zheng2026-10-20
📄 earth science

Regional synchrony amplifies the fire signal in global CO₂ growth rate

This study reveals that a seven-fold increase in global fire-emission variance and a dramatic rise in their correlation with atmospheric CO₂ growth rates from 2015 to 2024 were driven not by larger individual fires, but by a shift from regional cancellation to reinforcement of fire-carbon anomalies across different latitudes.

Sudhanshu Pandey, Kevin Bowman, Jeongmin Yun, Junjie Liu, Anthony Bloom, James Randerson2026-10-20