📄 Category

earth_science

2353 papers

📄 earth science

Probabilistic recovery of high-impact urban convective rainfall from radar-assimilation experiments using conditional diffusion and distributional attribution

This study presents a hybrid forecasting framework that combines convection-permitting WRF simulations with 3DVAR radar assimilation and conditional diffusion postprocessing to substantially improve the probabilistic prediction of localized, high-impact convective rainfall over Baltimore, effectively correcting storm displacement errors and reducing forecast uncertainty despite the limitations of radar assimilation alone.

Chibuike Chiedozie Ibebuchi2026-10-12
📄 earth science

Biome-scale heterogeneity in Scots pine drought resilience across Eurasia

This study analyzes a pan-Eurasian network of Scots pine tree-ring chronologies to reveal that drought resilience varies systematically across climatic gradients, with growth reductions exceeding 70% in cold-dry and warm semi-humid regions while cool-humid forests show muted or positive responses, highlighting how local adaptations and specific climate drivers modulate forest stability under intensifying climate extremes.

Edurne Martinez del Castillo, Max Torbenson, Frederick Reinig, Emanuele Ziaco, Roberto Serrano-Notivoli, Weipeng Yue, Mi (…)2026-10-12
📄 earth science

Scoping (un)regulated organic substances in aqueous effluents for circular water reuse: a Dutch case study

This Dutch case study reveals that current EU and national regulations fail to cover a significant proportion of organic substances, particularly pesticides and pharmaceuticals with persistent, mobile, and toxic characteristics, in municipal wastewater effluents, thereby highlighting the urgent need for stricter enforcement and expanded legislative frameworks to ensure safe water reuse.

Jill A.R. Soedarso, Sophie Melchers, Nora B. Sutton, Huub H.M. Rijnaarts, Gabriel Sigmund2026-10-11
📄 earth science

Internal solitary waves as a global ocean hazard observed continuously by automated Sentinel-1 classification

This paper presents a continuous, operational monitoring system that leverages automated classification of over 4 million Sentinel-1 SAR images to systematically detect internal solitary waves across more than 83% of the open ocean, yielding over 19,000 expert-confirmed detections and transforming a fragmented observational record into a global hazard assessment tool.

João Pinelo, Adriana M. Santos-Ferreira, Maarten Buijsman, Marek Stastna, José C. B. da Silva, Jesús Pineda, Magda Carr (…)2026-10-11
📄 earth science

Ambition versus Historically Grounded Transition Feasibility: Structural Constraints in Carbon-Budget Pathways

This study evaluates the structural feasibility of various decarbonization pathways across ten world regions, revealing that while a 2°C scenario nearly meets gross mitigation requirements, the more ambitious 1.5°C and NDC pathways remain structurally unviable due to significant budget overruns and unmet technological deployment gaps.

Carlos E. Velasquez, Douglas Silva Oliveira, José Péricles Freire, Masoumeh Bararzadeh Ledari2026-10-10
📄 earth science

A High-Resolution Current Velocity Database from Observations in the Yucatan Channel

This paper presents a high-resolution, quality-controlled database of ocean current velocities derived from September 2021 to August 2023 moored observations in the Yucatan Channel, featuring carefully processed data suitable for model validation, data assimilation, and process studies.

Giovanni Durante, Julio Sheinbaum, Miguel Tenreiro, Domitilo Nájera, Enric Pallàs‐Sanz, Gabriela Athié, Liliam Arriaza-O (…)2026-10-10
📄 earth science

Regional Climate Resilience as a Mediating Pathway Between Heavy Rainfall Adaptation Technologies and Flood Damage Reduction: Evidence from South Korean Municipalities

Using panel data from 229 South Korean municipalities, this study demonstrates that heavy rainfall adaptation technologies reduce flood damage by strengthening distinct dimensions of regional climate resilience, with economic analyses revealing that region-specific technology portfolios are more cost-effective than uniform investment strategies.

Donghwi Kim, Yewon Choi, Hwuikwon Ahn, Wooyoung Choi, Kwansoo Kim, Donghwan An2026-10-09
📄 earth science

Waterside convection and microbial consumption control the fate of Nord Stream pipeline methane in the Baltic Sea until early winter

This study reveals that the fate of methane released from the ruptured Nord Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea was determined by seasonal water stratification, where shallow mixed waters allowed atmospheric escape while deeper stratified layers facilitated downward convection and intense microbial oxidation of the trapped gas.

Amanda Sellmaier, Ellen Damm, Carina Bunse, Katarina Abrahamsson, Astrid Lampert2026-10-09
📄 earth science

Dynamic fusion of displacement parallelism and mass conservation for landslide slip-surface depth inversion from SBAS-InSAR observations: a case study in the Wudongde reservoir area

This study proposes a novel dynamic fusion framework that integrates displacement parallelism and mass conservation laws with multi-orbit SBAS-InSAR observations to accurately invert time-varying landslide slip-surface depths and volumes, successfully validated in the Wudongde reservoir area with high precision and reduced methodological limitations.

Jiaxuan Huang, Jan Lueking, Weichao Du, Jianping Sun2026-10-09