📄 earth_science

Climate-induced disaster risk, societal vulnerability and regional governance in Southern Africa: a systematic integrative review and SADC resilience implementation framework

Through a systematic integrative review of literature from 1990 to 2025, this paper analyzes how climate hazards interact with socio-economic vulnerabilities and governance fragmentation in Southern Africa to create cumulative disaster risks, ultimately proposing the SADC Climate Resilience Implementation Framework (SCRIF) to transition from fragmented adaptation to coordinated regional risk reduction.

Moses Bonyongwe, Timothy Aluko2026-06-30
📄 earth_science

Satellite-Based Assessment of Thermal Stress Conditions at Cairo International Airport (HECA): A 13-Year Landsat Analysis (2013–2025)

This study presents the first long-term satellite-based assessment of thermal stress at Cairo International Airport (2013–2025), revealing a significant warming trend and extreme summer surface temperatures that exceed 45°C across nearly the entire airport, thereby establishing a new operational framework for managing heat-related aviation risks in semi-arid environments.

Michael Nagy Riad Kamel Abd AlMalk2026-06-30
📄 earth_science

Retrospective Statistical Seismicity Analysis Across Contrasting Tectonic Settings Comparing the 2023 Kahramanmaraş (Türkiye) earthquake doublet and reservoir-triggered seismicity at Aswan (Egypt) through standard statistical-seismology methods

This paper retrospectively compares the statistical seismicity signatures of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş tectonic earthquake doublet and the reservoir-triggered seismicity at Aswan, Egypt, using standard seismological tools to highlight their distinct mechanisms while cautioning that such retrospective anomaly detection does not equate to validated short-term earthquake prediction.

Michael Nagy Riad Kamel Abd AlMalk2026-06-30
📄 earth_science

Elevational controls on deadwood carbon stocks in a semi-arid forest ecosystem related to longterm climate trends (1988–2024)

This study quantifies deadwood carbon stocks in Iran's semi-arid Zagros forests, revealing that elevation is the primary driver of carbon distribution and that long-term warming trends since 1988 have likely intensified drought stress and tree mortality, thereby increasing deadwood accumulation at lower elevations.

Ali Sravazad, Mohsen Javanmiri Pour, Fardin Moradi2026-06-30
📄 earth_science

Radiative Forcing Response to Reduced Contrail Ice Formation via Controlled Ice Nuclei Seeding: A Global Study with CoCiP

Using the global CoCiP model, this study demonstrates that the COMBINES strategy of seeding controlled ice nuclei to drastically reduce contrail ice crystal formation can nonlinearly decrease aviation's net radiative forcing by up to 111%, potentially reversing contrail-induced warming, with the highest mitigation potential observed in winter and varying significantly by region.

Anil Kumar Khadka, Fangqun Yu2026-06-30
📄 earth_science

How exposed and threatened is Mauritius’s infrastructure to rising seas and climate extremes? Insights from a Material Stock Analysis (MSA)

This study utilizes Material Stock Analysis to reveal that while Mauritius's infrastructure faces relatively low exposure to future sea-level rise, it is significantly threatened by pluvial flooding and storm surges, necessitating adaptive strategies like nature-based defenses and improved spatial planning to mitigate economic risks and material losses.

Sumaita Rahman, Mahendra Gooroochurn, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Simron Singh2026-06-30
📄 earth_science

Hydro-Economic-Environmental Trade-offs in Climate Adaptation: Optimizing Agricultural Resource Allocation in Arid Regions

This paper demonstrates that an integrated hydro-economic-environmental modeling framework applied to Iran's Kashafrud River Basin reveals how a nexus-based adaptation policy combining optimized crop allocation and improved irrigation efficiency can simultaneously reverse climate-induced agricultural losses, increase farmer profits, and significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Elahe Ahani, Saman Ziaee, Hamid Mohammadi, Mostafa Mardani Najafabadi, Abbas Mirzaei2026-06-30