📈 economics

Profiling the Capture of the Demographic Dividend in the Countries of the Global South

This paper analyzes data from World Development Indicators using various statistical methods to demonstrate that while demographic dynamics significantly influence economic development in the Global South, the magnitude and speed of capturing the demographic dividend are critically determined by investments in education, productivity, employability, regional factors, and the pace of fertility decline.

Claude Mbarga Ella, Parfait M. Eloundou-Enyegue, Emmanuelle Obama, Martial Teda2026-09-08
📈 economics

Moving Targets: Regulatory Uncertainty and Agri-Food Trade. A Structural Gravity Model of EU Pesticide Maximum Residue Limits

This paper utilizes a structural gravity model to demonstrate that regulatory uncertainty regarding EU pesticide maximum residue limits significantly reduces agri-food trade, particularly by hindering market entry for developing exporters and perishable goods, thereby highlighting that the predictability of food-safety regulations is as critical as their stringency.

Ayodele Idowu2026-09-07
📈 economics

Knowledge as a Peacebuilding Tool: Does Education Reduce Internal Conflict in Somalia? Evidence from an ARDL Bounds Testing Approach

Using an ARDL bounds testing approach on annual data from 1990 to 2024, this study provides empirical evidence that expanding secondary education significantly reduces internal conflict in Somalia in the long run, suggesting that education should be treated as a strategic security investment alongside economic growth and employment creation.

Mohamed Mohamud Mohamed, Samuel Kale Ewusi2026-09-07
📈 economics

The mediating and moderating Roles of Digital Ecosystem and Sustainable Resilience in the relationship between Green Supply Chain Cybersecurity Readiness and Supply Chain Visibility

This study utilizes PLS-SEM analysis of data from 251 Pakistani manufacturing managers to demonstrate that supply chain risk management mediates the positive relationship between information processing and digital supply chain capabilities (including visibility and disruption orientation) and overall supply chain resilience, based on Information Processing Theory.

Abdul Ganiw Hussein, Mohammed Majeed, Mohammed Awal Zingnaa2026-09-07
📈 economics

AI-Driven Retail Trading and the Institutional Complementarity Trap: Why China's Market Reform Requires Simultaneous, Not Delayed, Change

This paper employs a five-population asymmetric evolutionary game to demonstrate that China's stock market modernization requires simultaneous, rather than delayed, reform of T+1 settlement, price limits, and short-selling constraints, as AI-driven retail trading can inadvertently lock the market into a transient but persistent instability that only a comprehensive, three-gate policy intervention can overcome.

Minxing Wang, Pavel Braslavski, Dmitry I. Ignatov2026-09-07
📈 economics

Beyond Geopolitical Shocks: How Institutional Quality and Ownership Structure Heterogeneity Shape Nonlinear Banking Resilience in MENA

This study reveals that while geopolitical tensions initially undermine banking resilience in MENA countries, this negative impact follows a nonlinear pattern that is significantly mitigated by high institutional quality and diverse ownership structures, as evidenced by robust dynamic system GMM estimations across 112 banks from 2007 to 2024.

Aya Abdelbaky, Esraa Fathi, Mohamed Lotfy, Yazeed Alkhrijah, Ahmed Rashed, Aya Samir Barakat2026-09-07