econ papers | Gist.Science

Clear Property Rights, Thriving Industries：Can the Reform of Rural Collective Property Rights Systems Attract Investment From Listed Companies Outside the County?

Using a staggered difference-in-differences model on panel data from 2045 Chinese counties (2011–2022), this study demonstrates that the reform of rural collective property rights systems significantly boosts investment by listed companies through population agglomeration and industrial clustering, with effects being most pronounced in eastern and non-priority rural revitalization counties.

Peng ZHOU, Yunliang JIANG, Wenzheng NIU, Dapeng LIANG, Xin LV2026-08-03

📈 economics

Asymmetric Forecasting of Tail Risk in Micro-Cap Stocks Using Inclusive Finance Factors: Evidence from Explainable Boosting Machines

This study demonstrates that decomposing inclusive-finance factors into positive and negative components and applying Explainable Boosting Machines reveals significant asymmetric and nonlinear predictive patterns for Micro-Cap stock tail risk, offering superior forecasting insights compared to raw factor levels.

WANG GAO2026-08-03

📈 economics

The Impact of Human Resource Information Systems (HRIS) on Employee Performance in Iraqi Organizations: An Analytical Study

This study employs a quantitative analysis of 100 large Iraqi firms to demonstrate that the system, information, and service quality dimensions of Human Resource Information Systems (HRIS) significantly influence employee performance, thereby validating established theoretical models within the context of developing Middle Eastern economies.

hussain alagele, hayder Abdul Raheem, nagham neama2026-08-03

📈 economics

Does the Degree of Social Security in China’s Gig Economy Affect Job Satisfaction?

Using panel data from 2016 to 2022, this study finds that social security coverage significantly enhances job satisfaction among China's gig workers, though the impact varies by insurance type, gender, and specific satisfaction dimensions, while revealing distinct mediation mechanisms compared to non-gig workers.

Pengfei Gao, Huimin Liu2026-07-31

📈 economics

Non-cognitive Abilities and Urban-Rural Income Inequality: A Transdisciplinary Analysis of Heterogeneous Returns in China

Using 2018 China Family Panel Studies data, this paper demonstrates that non-cognitive abilities generate significantly larger income returns for rural residents—particularly low-income earners—than for urban counterparts, suggesting that cultivating these traits offers a promising, overlooked strategy for reducing China's urban-rural income inequality.

Zhi Li, Xiaohu Fan, Xuejiao Pang, Haining Nie, Qiong Wu2026-07-31

📈 economics

Willingness to pay for student housing attributes: a discrete choice experiment in Trieste, Italy

Using a discrete choice experiment with 86 non-resident students in Trieste, Italy, this study estimates that location accessibility and private accommodation types are the primary drivers of willingness to pay, with higher-income students showing significantly greater preference for independent housing solutions.

Raul Berto2026-07-31

📈 economics

Economic Pragmatism and Immigration Preferences

Using a large-scale survey experiment in the Netherlands, this study demonstrates that public support for immigration is driven primarily by pragmatic economic contexts—specifically, framing technological change as an opportunity and highlighting labor shortages—rather than by the skill level of migrants.

Asli Unan2026-07-31

📈 economics

Does Financial Innovation Promote Smart City Development? The Single Threshold of Government Digital Governance Capacity

Using Chinese provincial panel data from 2010 to 2023, this study demonstrates that financial innovation significantly promotes smart city development, an effect that is amplified by higher marketization and regional openness, and critically depends on government digital governance capacity surpassing a specific threshold to unlock enhanced marginal contributions through increased regional innovation vitality.

Wenzhe Yu, Mengwei He2026-07-31

📈 economics

Water Scarcity, Policy Responses and Gender Inequality: Evidence from South Africa

Using a CGE–microsimulation framework, this study finds that while South Africa's projected water scarcity severely harms the economy and disproportionately affects female-headed households, policy responses like efficiency improvements are more inclusive than supply-side expansions, which tend to exacerbate poverty and gender inequality despite stimulating growth.

Ibrahim Kabore, Helene Maisonnave, Jean-Marc Montaud2026-07-31

📈 economics

Machine Learning-Based Forecasting of Headline Inflation in Ethiopia: an Empirical Comparative Study

This study demonstrates that a nonlinear neural network (NNAR) model outperforms traditional methods and LASSO regression in forecasting Ethiopia's headline inflation using quarterly data from 2000 to 2023, offering a superior tool for economic planning and policy-making.

Teklu Nega, Dereje Danbe, Aboma Tolessa2026-07-31

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