📈 Category

econ

1877 papers

📈 economics

Revisiting the Environmental Kuznets Curve in South Asia: A Pooled Mean Group Analysis of Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions

This study reexamines the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis for five South Asian economies from 1990 to 2023 using a Pooled Mean Group approach, revealing a U-shaped relationship between income and greenhouse gas emissions rather than the traditional inverted-U, with energy consumption identified as the primary long-run driver and a significant 45% annual adjustment rate toward equilibrium.

Arjun Gurung2026-07-29
📈 economics

From Headlines to Assembly Lines: Constructing a Manufacturing Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

This paper constructs a novel monthly Manufacturing Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the United States (1985–2025) using a hybrid human-auditing and machine-learning approach, revealing that while industrial and macroeconomic uncertainty trends are similar, manufacturing-specific uncertainty uniquely correlates inversely with consumer confidence and output, offering policymakers a refined tool to assess policy impacts on the production sector.

Simran Kahai, Aksh Dantal2026-07-29
📈 economics

A Study on Socio-Economical Impact of Green Housing Finance on Sustainable Development in India

This study evaluates the socio-economic impact of green housing finance in Rajasthan, India, revealing that while financial accessibility and awareness drive adoption, significant barriers such as affordability constraints and limited institutional support hinder its widespread implementation, thereby calling for region-specific financial innovations and enhanced policy coordination to advance sustainable development.

Ayushi Benjamin, Manoj Kumar2026-07-28
📈 economics

An attention economy model of co-evolution between content quality and audience selectivity

This paper presents an evolutionary game theory model demonstrating that a healthy information ecosystem depends on the co-evolution of content quality and audience selectivity, which can only be sustained when audiences possess sufficient discriminability and creators face adequate incentives to produce high-quality content.

Masaki Chujyo, Isamu Okada, Hitoshi Yamamoto, Dongwoo Lim, Fujio Toriumi2026-07-28
📈 economics

Intentional Warfare, Economic Blockade, and Developmental Collapse: Evidence from the Amhara National Regional State of Ethiopia

Using time series data from 2020–2026 and a newly constructed Developmental Collapse Index, this study provides empirical evidence that both intentional warfare and economic blockades imposed by the Ethiopian federal government have severely devastated the Amhara region's development, with blockade severity exerting an even greater negative impact than direct conflict intensity.

Simachew Zelalem Mengistu2026-07-28
📈 economics

Economic Narrative Indices and Media-Based Sentiment Measures: A Systematic Review of Methodologies, Applications, and Research Gaps (2007–2025)

This systematic review of 46 empirical and 20 theoretical studies (2007–2025) establishes that media-based sentiment measures significantly enhance economic forecast accuracy by 12–20% over strong benchmarks, while highlighting critical methodological evolutions, publication biases, and severe geographic-linguistic gaps that the proposed best-practices framework and the new Bangla Economic Narrative Index (BENI) aim to address.

Ann Naser Nabil2026-07-28
📈 economics

BRICS Under Stress: A Crisis-Adjusted Divergence Index for Measuring Coalition Alignment Under Systemic Pressure

This paper introduces the Crisis-Adjusted Divergence Index (CADI), a leading indicator that models systemic stress as a dynamic reweighting of five structural dimensions to predict coalition alignment, demonstrating through BRICS case studies that structural heterogeneity drives divergence under pressure while similarity does not guarantee cohesion.

Antoine Bachelin Sena2026-07-28