📈 economics

Evaluating the Impact of Land Bridge as a Complementary Corridor to the Suez Canal

This paper proposes and applies a methodological framework combining multimodal transport modeling and generalized-cost analysis to demonstrate that land-bridge corridors can serve as competitive, resilient alternatives to the Suez Canal for high-value intercontinental freight, offering strategic insights for the development of emerging Eurasian trade routes.

Ernesto Cipriani, Andrea Gemma, Livia Mannini, Marco Petrelli2026-09-30
📈 economics

The Cost of Capital in Developing Countries

This paper analyzes a unique dataset of 845 infrastructure transactions across 66 developing countries to reveal that borrowing costs often defy traditional sovereign-risk models, with private projects sometimes borrowing below sovereign rates and investor confidence significantly lowering costs over time, suggesting that policies catalyzing initial market entry could effectively reduce the cost of capital.

Ely Sandler, Cameron Hepburn, Daniel Schrag2026-09-30
📈 economics

Ripple Effects of the Second Trump Administration's Tariff War: A Multi-Domain Assessment of Trade, Financial Markets, Macroeconomic Performance, and Institutional Spillovers, 2025 to 2026

This paper synthesizes seventeen studies and new monthly data to demonstrate that the 2025–2026 Trump administration's extensive tariff program generated four sequential ripple effects across trade, finance, and macroeconomics, ultimately culminating in a judicial reversal that nullified the policy before it could significantly impact headline inflation.

JANARDAN BEHERA2026-09-30
📈 economics

Implication of the Russo-Ukrainian crisis on food security and poverty in Bukavu, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo

This study reveals that the Russo-Ukrainian crisis, compounded by local conflicts and the pandemic, severely exacerbated food insecurity and poverty in Bukavu, DRC, by disrupting supply chains and driving up prices, resulting in 83% of households experiencing food poverty and nearly 70% facing severe food insecurity.

Aksanti H. Ntasima, Mwamuzi R. Matenga, Aganze B. Marhegane, Asifiwe .R Kadorho, Akonkwa E. Ndagano, Bisimwa E. Basenger (…)2026-09-30
📈 economics

Does Economic Scale Strengthen Export Competitiveness? Evidence from Eastern Indonesia

Using a 3SLS simultaneous equation framework on Eastern Indonesian data from 2000 to 2025, this study finds that labor productivity and economic complexity significantly drive non-oil export competitiveness, while capital accumulation and human capital exhibit mixed or negative effects due to misalignment with regional industrial needs.

Djuanda Hatta, Hamid Paddu, Dwiana Sari Saudi, Amanus Khalifah Fil'ardy Yunus2026-09-29