📈 economics

Drivers of Water Quality and Water Resource Management Perceptions: Evidence from the Ouémé Delta, Benin

Using a heteroskedastic ordered probit model on survey data from 3,075 economic agents in Benin's Ouémé Delta, this study identifies health shocks, water color, education, and housing tenure as the primary drivers of water quality dissatisfaction, advocating for localized governance strategies over broad demographic targeting.

Azize AROUNA, Denis ACCLASSATO HOUENSOU, Achille Barnabé ASSOUTO2026-08-11
📈 economics

Forecasting food price inflation in Nigeria and identifying its drivers using machine learning models

This study demonstrates that regularized regression models, particularly Elastic Net, outperform traditional time-series and complex machine learning algorithms in forecasting Nigeria's food price inflation, identifying historical prices, exchange rates, energy costs, and rainfall as key drivers while advocating for coordinated macroeconomic and agricultural policies to ensure food security.

Oluwaseyi Samson Afolayan, Afolake Carolyn Afolami, Lawrence Olubunmi Balogun, Oriyomi Kazeem Aboaba, Adeleke Sabitu Cos (…)2026-08-11
📈 economics

Econometric Analysis of Loan Distribution as a Tool for Economic Growth: A Comparative Study of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, and Turkey

This study utilizes 2022–2024 data to analyze six Turkic-world economies and finds that while domestic credit to the private sector shows a weak, statistically insignificant link to economic growth, it exhibits a strong, significant positive correlation with inflation, with Turkmenistan excluded from the quantitative model due to data transparency issues.

NURKHODZHA AKBULAEV, MAYA GULIYEVA2026-08-11
📈 economics

Dynamic Dual-Period Multi-Criteria Inventory Decision Framework (DPMC-IDF): An Empirical Comparison with ABC and ABC-XYZ

This paper introduces the Dynamic Dual-Period Multi-Criteria Inventory Decision Framework (DPMC-IDF), a novel approach that overcomes the static and parametric limitations of traditional ABC and ABC-XYZ methods by utilizing dual-period analysis, non-parametric percentile ranking, and a signed volatility index to reduce misclassification risks and guide inventory decisions through a standardized five-tier procedure.

Keabetsoe Manosa2026-08-11
📈 economics

Design of Policy Framework for Coastal Wind Energy Deployment in West Africa: A Comparative Analysis of Nigeria, Benin, Mauritania, Togo, Guinea, Côte D'ivoire, and Ghana

This study employs a comparative mixed-methods analysis of seven West African coastal nations to reveal significant disparities in wind energy policy maturity and implementation, identifying institutional fragmentation and regulatory inconsistencies as primary barriers while advocating for regional harmonization and a dedicated task force to accelerate deployment.

Anthony Obiefuna Ibeh, Bethrand Nduka Nwankwojike, Hyginus Ubabuike Ugwu2026-08-11
📈 economics

The Role of Technology in Financial Development: An ARDL Bounds-Testing Analysis of Liberia, 1991–2021

Using an ARDL bounds-testing approach on Liberian data from 1991 to 2021, this study reveals that while mobile and internet adoption initially negatively impact financial development due to substitution effects and infrastructure barriers, they ultimately establish a stable long-run equilibrium that facilitates financial growth when supported by policy and sector engagement.

Patrick Nyenkan2026-08-11
📈 economics

Rising Female Labour Force Participation, Stagnant Quality: Gendered Informality in India’s Labour Market

Using PLFS data from 2021-22 to 2023-24, this paper reveals that despite rising female labour force participation in India, gendered informality remains structurally embedded, with women disproportionately concentrated in low-quality, unpaid, or informal roles across rural agriculture and urban services compared to men's dominance in regular wage employment and physically intensive sectors.

Basit Amin Padder2026-08-10
📈 economics

Oil price shocks and sectoral stock market dynamics in an Arab frontier economy: Multi-scale TVP-VAR connectedness evidence from Tunisia

This paper employs a multi-scale TVP-VAR framework to demonstrate that while oil price shocks have a limited and horizon-dependent impact on Tunisia's sectoral stock markets, with banking and consumer sectors acting as persistent net receivers, a minimum connectedness portfolio strategy effectively reduces variance at longer investment horizons despite yielding insignificant improvements in risk-adjusted returns.

Yousri Karchoud, Slaheddine Hellara2026-08-10