1114 papers
This paper presents an evolutionary game theory model demonstrating that a healthy information ecosystem depends on the co-evolution of content quality and audience selectivity, which can only be sustained when audiences possess sufficient discriminability and creators face adequate incentives to produce high-quality content.
In Hargeisa, Somaliland, a large-scale study of 5,762 households reveals that contrary to resource-dilution theories, household size does not erode financial capability due to the buffering effects of informal risk-sharing institutions and remittances, whereas education, gender, and formal banking access are the primary determinants.
Using time series data from 2020–2026 and a newly constructed Developmental Collapse Index, this study provides empirical evidence that both intentional warfare and economic blockades imposed by the Ethiopian federal government have severely devastated the Amhara region's development, with blockade severity exerting an even greater negative impact than direct conflict intensity.
This systematic review of 46 empirical and 20 theoretical studies (2007–2025) establishes that media-based sentiment measures significantly enhance economic forecast accuracy by 12–20% over strong benchmarks, while highlighting critical methodological evolutions, publication biases, and severe geographic-linguistic gaps that the proposed best-practices framework and the new Bangla Economic Narrative Index (BENI) aim to address.
This paper introduces the Crisis-Adjusted Divergence Index (CADI), a leading indicator that models systemic stress as a dynamic reweighting of five structural dimensions to predict coalition alignment, demonstrating through BRICS case studies that structural heterogeneity drives divergence under pressure while similarity does not guarantee cohesion.
This study demonstrates that for forecasting Ghana's headline inflation during a period of structural volatility, a simple ARIMA model outperforms complex machine learning and deep learning approaches, suggesting that exploiting inflation's high persistence is more effective than relying on functional flexibility when facing regime shifts.
This paper proposes an Institutionally Conditioned Green Bond Architecture (ICGBA) framework to finance Uzbekistan's water- and energy-intensive cotton processing sector, demonstrating through multi-method analysis that while commercial financing is unviable, a blended concessional structure can render cluster-level investments profitable while addressing critical institutional and verification gaps.
This paper employs a multi-agent model of U.S. seafood trade to demonstrate that while diversifying supply corridors effectively restores resilience during isolated bilateral shocks, it fails under simultaneous multilateral disruptions due to the exhaustion of finite shared substitution capacity, thereby highlighting the critical limits of diversification strategies.
This study demonstrates that strategically widening blast patterns to coarsen rock fragmentation, despite increasing downstream crushing energy costs, yields a net 11% reduction in total mine-to-crusher expenses by optimizing the integrated value chain rather than pursuing maximal fineness.
This paper presents a theory of economic transition where regimes persist as the least-maintenance viable architecture until a "stabiliser-transmitter reversal" forces agents to adopt costly workarounds that, upon scaling, eventually replace the incumbent system, a process characterized by inefficient persistence, endogenous transition, and a tradeoff between adoption delays and the informational value of high-friction adoption.