Epidemiology is the study of how diseases spread through populations and what factors influence their patterns. Rather than focusing on individual patients, this field examines broader trends to identify outbreaks, track transmission, and guide public health decisions. By analyzing data on infection rates and risk factors, researchers work to prevent future health crises and protect communities worldwide.

On Gist.Science, we process every new preprint in this category directly from medRxiv to make these critical findings instantly accessible. For each study, we provide both a plain-language explanation for general readers and a detailed technical summary for specialists. This dual approach ensures that vital insights into disease dynamics are understood clearly and quickly by everyone who needs them.

Explore the latest research below to see how scientists are currently mapping disease trends and developing strategies to safeguard global health.

📊 epidemiology

Herpes simplex virus genomes from an under-sampled population in Namibia reveal novel genetic diversity

This study presents the first Herpes simplex virus genomes from Namibia, collected via a novel FTA card-based method from a remote pastoralist population, revealing previously undocumented genetic diversity and highlighting the need to include under-sampled regions in global viral surveillance.

Bowen, C., Blake, A., Renner, D. W., Hazel, M. A., Jakurama, J., Matundu, J., Szpara, M., Bharti, N.2026-02-19
📊 epidemiology

Severe infections, domain-specific cognitive vulnerability, and future infection risk in older adults

This study of older adults reveals a bidirectional relationship where severe infections, particularly lower respiratory tract infections and sepsis, are associated with poorer executive function and general cognition, while cognitive deficits—especially in executive function—in turn increase the risk of future hospital-treated infections, including viral ones like COVID-19.

Gao, Y., Kivimaki, M., Frank, P., Scholes, S., ZANINOTTO, P., Steptoe, A.2026-02-18
📊 epidemiology

Accelerating vaccine trials during an outbreak of Disease-X: the effect of pathogen super-spreading on ring-trial design

Simulations of a hypothetical Nipah-X outbreak demonstrate that high levels of pathogen super-spreading significantly undermine the statistical power of cluster-randomised ring-trials compared to individual-randomisation designs, highlighting the critical need to account for transmission dynamics when planning vaccine efficacy studies for Disease X.

HINCH, R., Roberts, I., Wymant, C., Abeler-Dorner, L., Lapidus, S., Lipsitch, M., Fraser, C.2026-02-18
📊 epidemiology

Integrating stakeholder perspectives in modeling routine data for therapeutic decision-making

This paper proposes a stakeholder-inclusive conceptual framework that aligns the diverse priorities of clinicians, industry, patients, and statisticians with methodological requirements for modeling routine health data, utilizing multistate models to generate robust, transparent, and clinically meaningful real-world evidence for therapeutic decision-making.

Pfaffenlehner, M., Dressing, A., Knoerzer, D., Wagner, M., Heuschmann, P., Scherag, A., Binder, H., Binder, N.2026-02-18
📊 epidemiology

Search interest in alleged COVID-19 treatments during the pandemic and the impact of mass news media

This study analyzes US data from 2019–2022 to demonstrate a strong, immediate causal link between mass media coverage and public search interest in alleged COVID-19 treatments like hydroxychloroquine, ivermectin, and remdesivir, highlighting the media's critical role in shaping health-seeking behaviors during public health emergencies.

Ricotta, E. E., Bents, S., Lawler, B., Berkane, T., Smith, B. A., Majumder, M.2026-02-17
📊 epidemiology

The longitudinal care cascade for hypertension: a clinic-based study of people with and without HIV in South Africa

This longitudinal study in South Africa reveals that despite frequent health system contact, people living with HIV experience significantly lower hypertension diagnosis rates and higher rates of treatment regression and loss of blood pressure control compared to those without HIV, highlighting critical gaps in integrated chronic disease management.

Gumede, S. B., Manne-Goehler, J., Kelechi Oladimeji, E., Bulled, N., Brennan, A. T., Lalla-Edward, S. T.2026-02-17
📊 epidemiology

Differences in utilization, complications, and mortality after cancer surgery by HIV status among Medicaid beneficiaries from 2001-2021

This study of Medicaid beneficiaries from 2001 to 2021 found that while people with HIV undergoing cancer surgery experience higher healthcare utilization and longer hospital stays compared to those without HIV, they have similar short-term complications but face significantly elevated long-term mortality risks, particularly beyond 90 days post-surgery.

Joshu, C. E., Calkins, K., Rudolph, J. E., Xu, X., Zhou, Y., Palatino, M., Yenokyan, K., Wentz, E., Lau, B.2026-02-17
📊 epidemiology

Rural dengue dynamics: the interplay of climate, built environment, and agriculture in Costa Rica

This study of Costa Rican dengue dynamics reveals that rural transmission risk is consistently higher than in urban areas and is driven by the interplay of climate suitability, baseline built infrastructure, and agricultural land cover, particularly at lower and mid-elevations.

Glidden, C. K., Southworth, E. K., Shragai, T., Rojas-Araya, D., Troyo, A., Chaves-Gonzalez, L. E., Marin, R., Vargas Ro (…)2026-02-17
📊 epidemiology

Longitudinal clustering of health behaviours and their association with multimorbidity: Evidence from Understanding Society (UKHLS)

Using longitudinal data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study, this study identifies seven stable clusters of health behaviors across adulthood and reveals a counterintuitive association where the "Overall Low-risk" behavioral cluster, characterized by older women with lower socioeconomic status, exhibits the highest prevalence of multimorbidity, highlighting the critical importance of considering sociodemographic context alongside behavioral patterns.

Suhag, A., Webb, T. L., Holmes, J.2026-02-17