Epidemiology is the study of how diseases spread through populations and what factors influence their patterns. Rather than focusing on individual patients, this field examines broader trends to identify outbreaks, track transmission, and guide public health decisions. By analyzing data on infection rates and risk factors, researchers work to prevent future health crises and protect communities worldwide.

On Gist.Science, we process every new preprint in this category directly from medRxiv to make these critical findings instantly accessible. For each study, we provide both a plain-language explanation for general readers and a detailed technical summary for specialists. This dual approach ensures that vital insights into disease dynamics are understood clearly and quickly by everyone who needs them.

Explore the latest research below to see how scientists are currently mapping disease trends and developing strategies to safeguard global health.

Sexual risk behaviours following medical male circumcision: a matched pseudo-cohort analysis using population-based survey data

Using a matched pseudo-cohort analysis of the 2024 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey, this study found that medical male circumcision was not associated with increased sexual risk behaviors, thereby supporting the behavioral safety of the intervention and demonstrating the value of adapting cross-sectional data to address temporal challenges.

Mwakazanga, D. K., daka, v., Gwasupika, J. K., Dombola, A. K., Kapungu, K. K., Khondowe, S., Chongwe, G. K., Fwemba, I., Ogundimu, E.2026-04-13📊 epidemiology

Five-Domain Accelerometer-Derived Behavioral Exposome and Incident Cancer Risk in UK Biobank

This UK Biobank study demonstrates that a comprehensive five-domain behavioral exposome derived from accelerometry—encompassing movement volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythms—is significantly associated with incident solid cancer risk, with nocturnal light exposure showing a specific novel link to pancreatic cancer.

Ni Chan Chin (Chengqin Ni), M., Berrio, J. A.2026-04-12📊 epidemiology

Disentangling the drivers of heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission from data on viral load and daily contact rates

By integrating viral load and contact survey data into a mathematical model, this study reveals that individual variation in contact rates, rather than viral shedding, is the primary driver of SARS-CoV-2 transmission heterogeneity, and demonstrates that frequent or pre-event rapid testing can effectively curb superspreading events.

Quilty, B. J., Chapman, L. A., Munday, J. D., Wong, K. L., Gimma, A., Pickering, S., Neil, S. J., Galao, R., Edmunds, W. J., Jarvis, C. I., Kucharski, A. J., CMMID COVID-19 Working Group,2026-04-11📊 epidemiology

Prevalence and Factors Associated with Family-Based HIV Index Case Testing in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, 2023: A Cross-Sectional Study

This 2023 cross-sectional study in Wolaita Zone, Ethiopia, found that 84.9% of ART patients engaged in family-based HIV index case testing, a rate significantly influenced by urban residence, longer ART duration, status disclosure, family discussions, and professional counseling, though still falling short of the national 95% target.

Koyra, A. B., Mohammed, F., Eshete, T.2026-04-11📊 epidemiology

Childhood cancer in singletons conceived via medically assisted reproduction in Australia: a population-based cohort study

This large-scale Australian population-based cohort study of over 5 million singletons found no strong evidence that children conceived via medically assisted reproduction have an elevated overall risk of childhood cancer compared to naturally conceived children, although some specific cancer subtypes showed unadjusted incidence increases that disappeared after controlling for confounders.

Walker, A. R., Vajdic, C. M., Anazodo, A. C., Hacker, N. F., Opdahl, S., Chapman, M., Sansom-Daly, U. M., Jorm, L., Norman, R. J., Stern, C., Chambers, G. M., Venetis, C.2026-04-11📊 epidemiology

Development and Validation of the Hypertension Population Risk Tool: A Population-Based Diagnostic Algorithm for Canadians

This study developed and validated the Hypertension Population Risk Tool (HTNPoRT), a high-performing, sex-specific diagnostic algorithm using readily available self-reported data to effectively screen individuals and guide population-level hypertension prevention strategies in Canada.

Islam, R., Bushnik, T., Sood, M. M., Taljaard, M., McAlister, F. A., Li, J., Manuel, D. G.2026-04-10📊 epidemiology

Uptake and retention in HIV care among pregnant and postpartum women living with HIV under different eras of vertical transmission prevention policies in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

This systematic review and meta-analysis of 82 studies across 17 sub-Saharan African countries demonstrates that the implementation of Option B+ policies significantly improved both HIV care uptake (by 8%) and retention rates (by 46%) among pregnant and postpartum women, although retention levels remain insufficient to meet UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets.

Jinga, N. N., Hwang, C., Rossouw, L., Clouse, K., Nattey, C., Mbwele, B., Ngcobo, N. B., Beestrum, M., Huffman, M. D., Fox, M. P., Maskew, M.2026-04-08📊 epidemiology

Using an evolutionary epidemiological model of pandemics to estimate the infection fatality ratio for humans infected with avian influenza viruses

This paper employs an evolutionary epidemiological model to estimate that thousands of undetected human avian influenza infections occur annually with an infection fatality ratio of approximately 0.32%, highlighting the critical need to prevent animal-to-human spillovers to mitigate severe individual outcomes and delay future pandemics.

Mack, J., Li, M., Hurford, A.2026-04-07📊 epidemiology

Employment status, occupational profile, and common mental disorders among workers in urban informal settlements in Brazil

This cross-sectional study of 587 workers in Salvador, Brazil, reveals that precarious employment conditions, particularly informal work and job insecurity, are significantly associated with a higher prevalence of common mental disorders, with specific risk factors varying by employment type, gender, and income level.

Cavalcanti Prestes, J. F., Nunes, T. S., Souza, F. N., de Carvalho Santiago, D. C., Lopez, Y. A., Goncalves Palma, F. A., Santana, J. O., dos Santos, P. E. F., de Olieveira, D., Awoniyi, A. M., Staube (…)2026-04-07📊 epidemiology