The Search Budget of the BSM Resonance Program
This paper quantifies the statistical trials factor of the ATLAS BSM resonance program by calculating that its current published record requires a local significance of 6.55σ for a 5σ global discovery, while a fully combinatorial scan would only marginally increase this requirement to 7.11σ, and further argues that two-stage unblinding is a superior safeguard against spurious signals in machine-learning searches where trials factors are difficult to enumerate.