Expected Kullback-Leibler-based characterizations of score-driven updates

This paper establishes that score-driven updates are uniquely characterized by their ability to reduce the expected Kullback-Leibler divergence relative to the true data-generating density, providing a rigorous information-theoretic foundation that holds even in non-concave, multivariate, and misspecified settings where alternative performance measures fail.

Ramon de Punder, Timo Dimitriadis, Rutger-Jan Lange2026-03-05🔢 math

Connected fundamental domains for congruence subgroups

This paper constructs canonical sets of right coset representatives for the congruence subgroups Γ0(N)\Gamma_0(N), Γ1(N)\Gamma_1(N), and Γ(N)\Gamma(N) to prove that their corresponding fundamental domains are connected, utilizing a study of the projective line P1(Z/NZ)\mathbb{P}^1(\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}) and a multiplicity function MM that is shown to be one less than a more computable function WW.

Zhaohu Nie, C. Xavier Parent2026-03-05🔢 math

Rotating random trees with Skorokhod's M1M_1 topology

This paper extends the coding of measured R\mathbb{R}-trees to càdlàg functions using Skorokhod's M1M_1 topology to demonstrate that while tree rotation acts as a dilation for critical Bienaymé trees with Gaussian offspring limits, it yields a different scaling limit encoded by spectrally positive α\alpha-stable Lévy processes when the offspring distribution falls in the domain of attraction of an α\alpha-stable law with α(1,2)\alpha \in (1,2).

Antoine Aurillard2026-03-05🔢 math