This section explores the intersection where physics meets data analysis, a rapidly evolving frontier where complex datasets reveal hidden patterns in the universe. From tracking particle collisions to modeling cosmic structures, these studies rely on advanced statistical methods to turn raw numbers into fundamental insights about how reality works.

Gist.Science monitors every new preprint in this category as it appears on arXiv, ensuring you never miss a breakthrough. We process each entry to provide both plain-language overviews for general understanding and detailed technical summaries for experts, bridging the gap between dense research and clear comprehension.

Below are the latest papers in physics and data analysis, organized for easy reading and discovery.

Learning Complex Physical Regimes via Coverage-oriented Uncertainty Quantification: An application to the Critical Heat Flux

This paper demonstrates that coverage-oriented uncertainty quantification methods, which integrate uncertainty directly into the optimization process, outperform post-hoc techniques in modeling the complex, multi-regime physical behaviors of Critical Heat Flux by producing models with both high predictive accuracy and physically consistent uncertainty estimates.

Michele Cazzola, Alberto Ghione, Lucia Sargentini, Julien Nespoulous, Riccardo Finotello2026-02-26📊 stat

Disentangling synchrony from serial dependency in paired event time series

This paper introduces improved versions of Event Synchronization (ES) and Event Coincidence Analysis (ECA) to better handle normalization and boundary issues, demonstrating through numerical and real-world applications that while ES is sensitive to serial dependency and event clustering, ECA serves as a more robust method for analyzing synchronization in event time series.

Adrian Odenweller, Reik V. Donner2026-02-24🌀 nlin

Complex-Valued Time Series Based Solar Irradiance Forecast

This paper proposes a resource-efficient complex-valued autoregressive model that transforms solar irradiance forecasts by incorporating volatility as an imaginary component, demonstrating superior or comparable accuracy to classical methods while offering broad applicability across various scientific fields.

Cyril Voyant, Philippe Lauret, Gilles Notton, Jean-Laurent Duchaud, Luis Garcia-Gutierrez, Ghjuvan Antone Faggianelli2026-02-24🔬 physics

Benchmarks for Solar Radiation Time Series Forecasting

This paper establishes a rigorous benchmarking framework for solar radiation forecasting by evaluating five naive reference methods, including a newly proposed ARTU model and their ensemble combination, to demonstrate that selecting the most appropriate reference method based on specific data characteristics and forecast horizons is essential for fair performance assessment.

Cyril Voyant, Gilles Notton, Jean-Laurent Duchaud, Luis Antonio García Gutiérrez, Jamie M. Bright, Dazhi Yang2026-02-24📊 stat

Texture tomography with high angular resolution utilizing sparsity

This paper presents a novel sparsity-based texture tomography method that reconstructs high-resolution orientation distribution functions in anisotropic polycrystalline samples without peak-finding, enabling the mapping of complex microstructures in materials like shot-peened martensite and gastropod shells that are difficult to analyze with existing techniques.

Mads Carlsen, Florencia Malamud, Peter Modregger, Anna Wildeis, Markus Hartmann, Robert Brandt, Andreas Menzel, Marianne Liebi2026-02-24🔬 cond-mat.mtrl-sci

On the Importance of Clearsky Model in Short-Term Solar Radiation Forecasting

This paper proposes a novel "Clearsky-Free" short-term solar radiation forecasting approach using Extreme Learning Machines (ELM) that directly learns from raw Global Horizontal Irradiance data to eliminate the limitations and complexities of traditional clearsky models while achieving accuracy and robust uncertainty quantification comparable to or better than existing benchmarks.

Cyril Voyant, Milan Despotovic, Gilles Notton, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Mohammed Asloune, Luis Garcia-Gutierrez2026-02-24🤖 cs.LG