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Inference for the Lorenz Curve and Gini Index under the Geometric Distribution

This paper establishes the exact and asymptotic distributional properties of maximum likelihood estimators for the Lorenz curve and Gini index under the geometric distribution, providing a rigorous inferential framework for inequality measures in discrete settings through closed-form derivations, consistency proofs, simulation studies, and real-data application.

Abdul Sathar E I, Jolly Kumari R, Sreekumar N V2026-07-10
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Efficient recursive data snooping for correlated observations

This paper introduces Efficient Recursive Data Snooping (ERDS), an exact recursive reformulation of iterative data snooping that significantly reduces computational costs for correlated observations by replacing repeated model re-decompositions with closed-form updates, achieving a 96.5% runtime reduction in GNSS data processing while maintaining identical detection results to classical methods.

Kunpu Ji, Yunzhong Shen, Wu Chen, Bofeng Li, Ling Yang, Xiaolong Mi2026-07-10
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Machine Learning Analysis of Socioeconomic Stratification and Health Vulnerability in the United States

Using a supervised machine learning pipeline on a synthetic dataset calibrated to US national surveys, this study demonstrates that structural socioeconomic factors, particularly education and occupational class, are the dominant predictors of health vulnerability—explaining 82% of feature importance and supporting fundamental cause theory over behavioral explanations.

Tamim Anowar2026-07-10
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HS3: A Descriptive, Interoperable Serialization Standardfor Statistical Models in High-Energy Physics

This paper introduces HS3, a new implementation-agnostic, human-readable, and extensible serialization standard for statistical models in high-energy physics designed to overcome the limitations of existing formats by enabling machine-readable interoperability, long-term preservation, and FAIR data principles across diverse software frameworks.

Carsten Burgard, Oliver Schulz, Giordon Stark, Jonas Rembser, Simon Cello, Cornelius Grunwald2026-07-10
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Inferring Optimised Pregnancy Conception Dates from Multiple Gestational Age Estimates: A Hybrid Anomaly Detection and Linear Mixed Model Approach

This study demonstrates that a hybrid approach combining Isolation Forest anomaly detection with linear mixed-effects modeling can synthesize reliable, optimized pregnancy conception dates from conflicting routine clinical data in low-resource settings, effectively overcoming the lack of early ultrasound and inconsistent record-keeping.

Mercy Chepkirui, Stephanie Dellicour, Benard Omondi, Kennedy Maube, Gerald Ongayo, Michael Alaw, Benard Asuke, Titus Och (…)2026-07-09
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Markov-Switching Regime Dynamics of Maternal Mortality in Kenya: A State-Dependent Analysis of Health System Transitions with Bootstrap Uncertainty Quantification (2000-2023

This study employs a two-state Markov-switching model with bootstrap uncertainty quantification on Kenya's 2000–2023 maternal mortality data to reveal distinct high and low mortality regimes driven by structural health system changes, demonstrating that the country's maternal health trajectory is characterized by persistent regime shifts rather than a continuous linear trend.

ROBERT NYABWANGA2026-07-09
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A Dynamic Huber-Weighted Adaptive EWMA Max-M Statistic for Simultaneous Multivariate Process Monitoring

This study proposes a Dynamic Huber-Weighted Adaptive EWMA Max-M statistic that outperforms traditional models in simultaneously detecting both minor and major multivariate process shifts by dynamically adjusting smoothing parameters based on deviation magnitude, as validated through simulations and industrial cement clinker data.

Muhammad Ahsan, Latifatuz Zulfa, Muhammad Mashuri, Syafi’ Bariq’ Syihabuddin Hidayatullah, Muhammad Hisyam Lee2026-07-09