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Measuring Visibility Bias in Digital Urban Experience: A Multimodal Spatial Statistical Analysis of Sina Weibo Data in Guangzhou

This study introduces a bias-aware spatial statistical framework using 273,566 geotagged Sina Weibo posts to quantify and map the uneven digital visibility of Guangzhou's urban categories, revealing that while emotional visibility is scale-dependent, architectural visibility exhibits consistent spatial clustering across modern and historic districts.

HUIMIN QU, Gongxiang Huang, Zhuqin Liang, Pei Wen2026-08-19
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Bridging SCED and Group Designs: Demonstrating the Ratio-Metric BC-IRR Effect Size in a Meta-Analysis

This study introduces the ratio-metric BC-IRR effect size as a method to bridge single-case and group experimental designs, demonstrating through a reanalysis of technology-aided interventions for students with autism that BC-IRR offers distinct interpretive advantages over traditional metrics while enabling the synthesis of diverse evidence types.

Wen Luo, Chendong Li, Eunkyeng Baek2026-08-18
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Distribird: Literature-Informed Prior Distribution Design for Bayesian Model Calibration

Distribird is an agentic web application that automates the creation of literature-informed prior distributions for Bayesian model calibration by deploying a multi-agent pipeline to extract, weight, and fit scientific data, thereby offering a traceable and validity-checked alternative to the commonly used uniform priors or ungrounded single-prompt LLM baselines.

Patrik P. Süli, György Eigner, Roland Hollós2026-08-18
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Validating the Crystal Ball: Retrospective Evaluation and Uncertainty-Aware Forecasting of Severe Housing Cost Burden in New York City

This paper retrospectively validates a machine-learning model for New York City housing cost burdens, revealing systematic under-prediction due to static economic assumptions and subsequently recalibrating the framework with uncertainty-aware methods to generate more robust, scenario-based forecasts for 2025–2028.

Nakib Uddin Ahmed, Azizur Rahman, Mehjabin Ferdous, Kadirur Rahman Chowdhury2026-08-18
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Seemingly Unrelated Cointegrating Regressions with Autoregressive Distributed Lag Dynamics: Estimation, Bounds Testing, and Cross-Equation Inference

This paper proposes a Seemingly Unrelated Autoregressive Distributed Lag (SUR-ARDL) framework for small-N panels that enhances estimation efficiency and cointegration testing power by leveraging cross-equation error correlations while avoiding the finite-sample distortions of long-run covariance matrix estimators, as demonstrated through theoretical proofs, Monte Carlo simulations, and an application to the renewable energy-growth nexus in ASEAN countries.

Muhammad Afnan Arif, Fumitaka Furuoka2026-08-18
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A Closed-Loop Framework for Knowledge-Based Causal Model Refinement Using Process Mining and Human-AI Governance

This paper proposes a closed-loop, human-AI collaborative framework that iteratively refines knowledge-based causal models (DAGs) by integrating process mining of empirical event logs with expert adjudication to enhance the accuracy and transparency of causal inference in complex chronic diseases.

Eduardo Illueca Fernandez, Kaile Chen, Carlos Fernandez Llatas, Fernando Seoane, Farhad Abtahi2026-08-14