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Efficient recursive data snooping for correlated observations

This paper introduces Efficient Recursive Data Snooping (ERDS), an exact recursive reformulation of iterative data snooping that significantly reduces computational costs for correlated observations by replacing repeated model re-decompositions with closed-form updates, achieving a 96.5% runtime reduction in GNSS data processing while maintaining identical detection results to classical methods.

Kunpu Ji, Yunzhong Shen, Wu Chen, Bofeng Li, Ling Yang, Xiaolong Mi2026-07-10
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Machine Learning Analysis of Socioeconomic Stratification and Health Vulnerability in the United States

Using a supervised machine learning pipeline on a synthetic dataset calibrated to US national surveys, this study demonstrates that structural socioeconomic factors, particularly education and occupational class, are the dominant predictors of health vulnerability—explaining 82% of feature importance and supporting fundamental cause theory over behavioral explanations.

Tamim Anowar2026-07-10
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HS3: A Descriptive, Interoperable Serialization Standardfor Statistical Models in High-Energy Physics

This paper introduces HS3, a new implementation-agnostic, human-readable, and extensible serialization standard for statistical models in high-energy physics designed to overcome the limitations of existing formats by enabling machine-readable interoperability, long-term preservation, and FAIR data principles across diverse software frameworks.

Carsten Burgard, Oliver Schulz, Giordon Stark, Jonas Rembser, Simon Cello, Cornelius Grunwald2026-07-10
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Inferring Optimised Pregnancy Conception Dates from Multiple Gestational Age Estimates: A Hybrid Anomaly Detection and Linear Mixed Model Approach

This study demonstrates that a hybrid approach combining Isolation Forest anomaly detection with linear mixed-effects modeling can synthesize reliable, optimized pregnancy conception dates from conflicting routine clinical data in low-resource settings, effectively overcoming the lack of early ultrasound and inconsistent record-keeping.

Mercy Chepkirui, Stephanie Dellicour, Benard Omondi, Kennedy Maube, Gerald Ongayo, Michael Alaw, Benard Asuke, Titus Och (…)2026-07-09
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Markov-Switching Regime Dynamics of Maternal Mortality in Kenya: A State-Dependent Analysis of Health System Transitions with Bootstrap Uncertainty Quantification (2000-2023

This study employs a two-state Markov-switching model with bootstrap uncertainty quantification on Kenya's 2000–2023 maternal mortality data to reveal distinct high and low mortality regimes driven by structural health system changes, demonstrating that the country's maternal health trajectory is characterized by persistent regime shifts rather than a continuous linear trend.

ROBERT NYABWANGA2026-07-09
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A Dynamic Huber-Weighted Adaptive EWMA Max-M Statistic for Simultaneous Multivariate Process Monitoring

This study proposes a Dynamic Huber-Weighted Adaptive EWMA Max-M statistic that outperforms traditional models in simultaneously detecting both minor and major multivariate process shifts by dynamically adjusting smoothing parameters based on deviation magnitude, as validated through simulations and industrial cement clinker data.

Muhammad Ahsan, Latifatuz Zulfa, Muhammad Mashuri, Syafi’ Bariq’ Syihabuddin Hidayatullah, Muhammad Hisyam Lee2026-07-09
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Auxiliary-Enhanced Survey Calibration: A Novel Framework for Reject Inference under Sample Selection Bias

This paper proposes a novel auxiliary-enhanced survey calibration framework for reject inference that avoids the performance degradation of traditional imputation methods by reweighting accepted applicants to match population totals, thereby proving consistent and asymptotically normal while significantly improving population risk calibration and maintaining discrimination power under model misspecification.

Abderrahim EL AMRANI, Badreddine BENYACOUB, Mohammed EL HAJ TIRARI2026-07-08
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An Interpretable Statistical Learning Framework for Binary Classification: An Application to Student Stress Prediction

This study proposes and validates an interpretable statistical learning framework that integrates penalized regression, bootstrap stability selection, and SHAP-based explainable machine learning to accurately predict student stress, identifying key predictors such as examination pressure and sleep hours while ensuring model transparency and reproducibility.

Francis Okyere2026-07-08