Prediction of Spallation Induced Transmutation Rates For Long Lived Fission Products via Proton Accelerator

This study evaluates the feasibility of spallation-driven transmutation for six long-lived fission products using proton accelerators with lead or depleted uranium targets, finding that while technetium, iodine, and selenium are promising candidates for effective transmutation, zirconium and cesium remain inefficient and costly to treat.

Original authors: Grigor Tukharyan, William Reed Kendrick, Areg Danagoulian, Benoit Forget

Published 2026-02-23
📖 5 min read🧠 Deep dive

This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

Imagine nuclear power plants as giant, efficient factories that generate electricity. But like any factory, they leave behind waste. Most of this waste cools down quickly, but a small, stubborn group of "Long-Lived Fission Products" (LLFPs) is like a radioactive ghost that refuses to fade away. These ghosts (isotopes like Technetium, Cesium, and Zirconium) can remain dangerous for hundreds of thousands of years, making us worry about where to safely store them forever.

This paper asks a big question: Can we use a giant "neutron cannon" to zap these radioactive ghosts and turn them into harmless or short-lived stuff?

Here is the breakdown of their experiment, explained with some everyday analogies:

1. The Setup: The "Neutron Cannon"

Instead of just sitting in a storage pool, the scientists propose a new machine.

  • The Bullet: They use a high-speed beam of protons (tiny particles) accelerated to near the speed of light.
  • The Target: This beam hits a heavy metal block (like a bowling ball made of Lead or Depleted Uranium).
  • The Explosion: When the proton hits the heavy metal, it doesn't just bounce off; it shatters the nucleus, spraying out a massive shower of neutrons (like confetti from a cannon).
  • The Blanket: Surrounding this "cannon" is a ring of the radioactive waste we want to fix. The neutrons fly out and hit the waste, hoping to change its atomic structure.

2. The Materials: Lead vs. Uranium

The researchers tested two different "bowling balls" to see which one makes the best neutron shower:

  • Lead: It's a safe, heavy hitter. It creates a good number of neutrons but doesn't get too hot or create new problems.
  • Depleted Uranium: This is the "super-charged" option. Because uranium is fissionable, hitting it creates way more neutrons (almost double Lead). However, it's like using a firecracker instead of a firework; it gets incredibly hot and, ironically, creates a little bit of new radioactive waste as a side effect.

The Verdict: Uranium is better at destroying waste because it shoots more neutrons, but it requires serious cooling and careful management because it creates a tiny bit of new mess while cleaning up the old one.

3. The Strategy: The "Seating Chart"

The neutrons coming out of the cannon are fast and energetic. As they travel through the water surrounding the target, they slow down (like a sprinter slowing to a jog). Different types of radioactive waste need different "speeds" of neutrons to be destroyed.

  • The Fast Zone (Close to the cannon): Needs waste that likes fast neutrons.
  • The Slow Zone (Far from the cannon): Needs waste that likes slow, "thermal" neutrons.

The scientists realized that if you mix all the waste together randomly, it's like putting a marathon runner in a chair and a sedentary person on a treadmill—it doesn't work well. They had to create a specific seating chart:

  • Zirconium is "transparent" to neutrons; it doesn't care much where it sits, but it's hard to destroy.
  • Cesium is picky; it needs a lot of slow neutrons, so it should sit on the outside.
  • Technetium is the easiest to destroy and can sit anywhere.

By arranging the waste in the perfect order (like organizing books by height on a shelf), they maximized the efficiency of the cleanup.

4. The Results: Who Wins?

Not all radioactive ghosts are created equal.

  • The Easy Targets: Technetium (Tc-99), Selenium, and Iodine are like low-hanging fruit. The machine eats them up efficiently. Technetium is the "star student" of this group.
  • The Tough Nut: Zirconium is very hard to destroy. It's like trying to break a diamond with a hammer; you need a lot of energy for very little result.
  • The Problem Child: Cesium is tricky. It has "siblings" (other isotopes of Cesium) that are easier to hit. The machine ends up hitting the siblings first, and only after they are gone does it start destroying the Cesium we actually care about. This makes it slow and expensive.

5. The Price Tag: Is It Worth It?

Here is the reality check. To run this machine, you need a massive amount of electricity—about 10% of what a whole nuclear power plant produces.

  • The Cost: You are essentially diverting electricity that could be sold to the grid to power the "neutron cannon." This makes the cost of electricity from that plant go up by about 11%.
  • The Value:
    • Destroying Technetium is relatively cheap (about $9 million per kilogram).
    • Destroying Cesium or Zirconium is incredibly expensive (hundreds of millions per kilogram).

The Bottom Line

This paper suggests that spallation transmutation (the neutron cannon method) is a promising tool, but it's not a magic wand for everything.

  • Do it for: Technetium, Selenium, and Iodine. It's a good deal.
  • Skip it for: Cesium and Zirconium. It's too expensive and inefficient right now.
  • The Future: The best strategy might be to build a system that handles the "easy" waste together, but treats the "hard" waste separately or finds a different solution for it.

Think of it like recycling: It's great to have a machine that turns plastic bottles into new plastic, but if the machine costs more to run than the value of the new plastic, you might just want to focus on the items that make the most sense. This study helps us figure out exactly which nuclear waste items are worth the "recycling" effort.

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