Precision, Physics, and Confabulation: Softmax Temperature as an Analog of Dopaminergic Precision-Weighting in LLM Hallucination
This pilot study proposes a formal mathematical analogy between dopamine-mediated precision-weighting in computational psychiatry and softmax temperature in LLMs, finding that while lowering temperature increases the confidence of hallucinations (reducing hedging) in ungrounded conditions without affecting grounded accuracy, the results remain statistically underpowered to definitively confirm the theoretical link.