Divergent Runoff Responses to 1.5°C, 2.0°C, and 3.0°C Warming Across Headwater and Downstream Regions of the Indus River Basin
This study reveals a stark hydroclimatic divergence in the Indus River Basin under 1.5°C to 3.0°C warming, where headwater runoff significantly increases due to snowmelt while downstream regions face deepening water deficits, posing critical risks to irrigation, food security, and adaptation planning.