📄 earth science

Heat Risk Assessment at Union Level Using Multiplicative Hazard-Exposure-Vulnerability Framework Integrating Remote Sensing and Socio-Economic Data

This study presents the first union-level heat risk assessment for Rajshahi Division, Bangladesh, utilizing a multiplicative Hazard-Exposure-Vulnerability framework integrated with remote sensing and census data to identify spatial risk clusters and inform targeted adaptation strategies across 654 administrative unions.

Ahad Kanak Prottay, Vargob Paul, Shazed Hossain Chamok2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Dynamic Flood Routing in Sediment-Affected Reservoirs Using Satellite- Derived Area-Elevation Curves: A Case Study of Golestan Dam, Iran

This study demonstrates that integrating satellite-derived, time-varying area-elevation curves into flood-routing models for the Golestan Dam reveals that significant sediment-induced morphological changes substantially alter peak outflows and flood risks, highlighting the necessity of dynamic geometry updates for accurate dam safety and flood management.

Abdolreza Zahiri, Mohammad Reza Nikoo, Hamed Feiz Abady2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Projection of Forest Cover Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning in Baishari Bangdopa, Bangladesh

This study utilizes remote sensing and machine learning to reveal a 74% decline in forest cover in Baishari Bangdopa, Bangladesh, between 1988 and 2025, and projects that future forest stability depends critically on management interventions, with strict protection potentially tripling current cover by 2050 compared to a near-total collapse under high deforestation scenarios.

Niamjit Das2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Waste generation, environmental perception, and community responses to industrial pollution in peri-urban Oluyole, Oyo State, Nigeria

This study of peri-urban Oluyole, Nigeria, reveals that despite high environmental awareness, industrial pollution persists due to inadequate waste management infrastructure, sensory-driven risk perceptions, and weak institutional governance, compelling communities to adaptively tolerate pollution for livelihood security.

Timothy. O Ogunbode, O.. Adeji Alaba, M. Ademola Sunday2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Oral histories versus the scientific record in identifying climate trends at Biosphere Reserves in Canada, the USA and Mexico

This study demonstrates that Indigenous and local oral histories generally complement instrumental climate records regarding temperature trends across three North American biosphere reserves, though discrepancies often arise from differences in spatial scale, livelihood-specific sensitivities, and data limitations.

Adam Fenech, Xander Wang, William Gough2026-09-04
📄 earth science

From the Stratosphere to the Surface: The Case of the April 2025 Wind Extremes in Eastern Asia

This study demonstrates that a major sudden stratospheric warming in March 2025 influenced record-breaking surface wind extremes in Eastern Asia during April 2025 by descending easterlies that reflected planetary waves to intensify the East Asian trough, thereby enhancing short-range forecast skill when stratospheric data is incorporated into deep learning models.

Yueyue Yu, Min Jiao, Haishan Chen, Zhicong Yin, Yang Liu, Bowen Liu, Ke Wei2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Evaluating the blue carbon benefits of aligning Canada’s biodiversity conservation and climate change mitigation targets

This study presents a national assessment framework for Canada's blue carbon ecosystems, revealing significant carbon stocks and sequestration potential while demonstrating that expanding their protection to 30% by 2030 could yield substantial cumulative climate mitigation benefits by 2050.

Jennifer McHenry, Graham Epstein, Vanessa Valenti, Lauren Shea, Philipe Archembault, Kira A. Krumhansl, Melisa C. Wong (…)2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Coupling advanced earth observation, Machine learning, GeoAI, and CA-ANN model for assessing Spatio-temporal LULC change in Gilgel Gibe I Watershed, Upper Omo-Gibe Basin, Ethiopia

This study integrates cloud-based remote sensing and a Cellular Automata-Artificial Neural Network (CA-ANN) model to analyze historical and project future Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) changes in Ethiopia's Gilgel Gibe I Watershed, revealing a significant decline in forest and grassland areas alongside rapid expansion of agriculture and built-up zones that threaten ecosystem services and environmental sustainability.

Ermiyas Asfaw Molla, Amanuel Tesfaye Kebebew, Albeza Asfaw Molla, Tilahun Kasa Weldetsadik, Zelalem Abera Angello, Sinta (…)2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Urban expansion will unevenly amplify heat hazard and exposure within future cities

This study introduces a high-resolution modeling framework to demonstrate that future urban expansion will disproportionately intensify heat hazards in already hot, densely populated urban cores across North America, revealing a critical, localized vulnerability driven by the compounding effects of climate change, demographic shifts, and spatial development.

TC Chakraborty, Timothy Jiang, Jianfeng Li, Yun Qian, L. Ruby Leung2026-09-04
📄 earth science

Microplastic Contamination in Edible Bivalves and Associated Environmental Health Risks in Coastal Makassar, Indonesia

This study reveals that edible bivalves (*Pilsbryoconcha exilis*) from Makassar's Tallo coast are contaminated with microplastics, primarily blue fibers of PE, PET, and PVC, posing significant dietary health risks—particularly to children—as evidenced by risk quotients and excess cancer risk estimates exceeding safety thresholds.

Shabrina Vashtinia Putri Tryanda, Anwar Mallongi, Ridwan Amiruddin, Agus B. Birawida, Sudirman Nasir, Anwar Daud, Herawa (…)2026-09-04