📄 Category

earth_science

2455 papers

📄 earth science

Climate Risk Exposure of Educational Facilities in Kenya: A National Multi-Hazard Spatial Assessment Using the IPCC AR6 Framework

This study utilizes the IPCC AR6 framework and multi-source geospatial data to assess climate risk across 9,451 Kenyan educational facilities, identifying that while most schools face moderate-to-low risk, 14.8% are classified as Very High risk due to compound hazards like drought, floods, and heat stress, with projections indicating further deterioration by mid-century.

Shabu Jemal Abakorma2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Integrating laboratory-based secondary precipitation thresholds with ocean biogeochemistry models to advance ocean alkalinity enhancement decision-making

This study combines controlled microcosm experiments across temperature and salinity gradients with regional biogeochemical modeling to establish new, higher precipitation thresholds for Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement, demonstrating that integrating these experimentally derived limits is essential for accurately predicting safe and efficient carbon dioxide removal outcomes.

Allison Savoie, Kyle Hinson, Ashley Bird, Mallory Ringham, Emma Scott, Jessica Cross, Chinmayee Subban, Alexa Labossiere (…)2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Fifty-year seismicity analysis of the East Anatolian Fault System (1976–2026): leakage-safe probabilistic forecasting for seismic-risk resilience

This study analyzes a 50-year seismicity record of the East Anatolian Fault System to demonstrate that while reproducible short-term probabilistic forecasts outperform static historical rates, more complex modeling components currently lack independent prospective skill, supporting a framework for cautious risk communication rather than deterministic prediction.

Mehmet Tevfik AĞDAŞ2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Adapt or Perish? Local Stakeholders' Responses to Climate Change in Ghana’s Cocoa-Growing Regions

This phenomenological study of 24 stakeholders in Ghana's cocoa-growing regions identifies specific climate impacts and challenges while highlighting diverse perceived adaptive capacities, ultimately recommending the establishment of community-based adaptation committees to integrate local insights into climate action plans.

Prince Kwadwo Amoako, Enoch Kwame Tham-Agyekum, Lawrence Kwabena Brobbey, John-Eudes Andivi Bakang, George Agana Akuriba (…)2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Human Development Burdens and Recovery of Climate Overshoot and Return

This study quantifies how the magnitude and duration of temporary climate overshoot cause persistent, disproportionately harmful losses to human development (income, life expectancy, and schooling) that are only partially recovered even after global temperatures return to pre-overshoot levels, with low-latitude regions experiencing the most significant but incomplete benefits from cooling.

Marta Mastropietro, Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo, Massimo Tavoni2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Reactivated slope, perched channel, and protective-action capacity: an integrated analysis of the 2025 Matai'an landslide-dam disaster, Taiwan

This study analyzes the 2025 Matai'an landslide-dam disaster in Taiwan to demonstrate how the convergence of long-term geological instability, century-old perched channel geometry, and a mismatch between generic vertical evacuation warnings and specific site conditions led to preventable fatalities despite a dense alert sequence.

I-Chun Isabelle Chen, Jian-Hong Wu, Hsin-Tzu Lin, Jui Jen Peng, Jennifer Liu, Ethan Yi-Chen Wu, Hsin-Hung Ho2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Assessing Human Thermal Stress in the Maldives: A Comparative Analysis of UTCI and Apparent Temperature

This study analyzes 51 years of temperature data and compares the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) with Apparent Temperature (AT) across the Maldives to reveal a significant long-term warming trend and increased heat stress, concluding that while both indices are effective for monitoring, AT provides a more sensitive basis for establishing national heat warning thresholds.

Thahumeena Abdulkareem, Ahmed Rasheed, Somnath Chaudhuri2026-08-26
📄 earth science

A Threefold Increase in Observed Summertime Atmospheric Dimethyl Sulfide over the Austral Southern Ocean

New atmospheric observations from Kennaook-Cape Grim reveal a threefold increase in summertime dimethyl sulfide over the Austral Southern Ocean between 1993–96 and 2023–26, indicating that changing marine sulfur emissions and atmospheric processing are significantly reshaping the regional sulfur cycle under a changing climate.

Caleb Mynard, Megan D. Willis, Nigel Somerville, Alan Griffiths, Sally Taylor, Greg P. Ayers, Melita Keywood, Erin Dunne (…)2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Living Biomass, Carbon Stocks, Carbon-Dioxide Equivalents and Carbon-Trade Potential under Land-Cover Change in Tanzania’s Ruaha-Rungwa Ecosystem, 1995-2050

This study quantifies the declining living biomass and carbon stocks in Tanzania's Ruaha-Rungwa ecosystem from 1995 to 2050, estimating a potential carbon-trade value of US$0.25–2.53 billion for projected losses while emphasizing that realizing this value requires rigorous verification of additionality, permanence, and other carbon-market standards.

Adili Y. Zella2026-08-26
📄 earth science

Who is most at risk? Factors associated with fatal outcomes of leopard attacks in a sugarcane-dominated landscape of Bijnor, northern India

A study of leopard attacks in Bijnor, India, reveals that children, solitary individuals, and victims attacked during the monsoon season face significantly higher odds of fatal outcomes, highlighting the need for targeted prevention strategies focused on supervision, group movement, and seasonal awareness.

shivam Chauhan, Kaleem Ahmed, Mohit Kumar Patra, Khadija -, Gyan Singh2026-08-26