📄 earth_science

IPCC-Aligned Framework for Flood Vulnerability Indices: A Scoping Review of Geospatial Indicators for Adaptation Planning

This scoping review harmonizes 2,437 geospatial indicators from 131 studies into an IPCC-aligned framework to address methodological inconsistencies in Flood Vulnerability Indices, thereby providing a transparent, FAIR-compliant catalogue to support evidence-based urban flood adaptation planning.

Franklin Gaspar, Fernando B. Alves, Ana Monteiro, Cecília Rocha2026-09-01
📄 earth_science

The Microplastic Menace: Polymer-Specific Impacts on Bacterial Communities and Carbon Cycling in Temperate Forest Soils

This study demonstrates that in temperate forest soils, the identity of microplastic polymers, their concentration, and soil type jointly modulate short-term bacterial and fungal community diversity, enzyme activity, and carbon cycling processes.

Kimberli Arias-Manquel, Ignacio Jofré-Fernández, Daniela Nualart, Luis Vargas-Chacoff, Francisco Nájera-DeFerrari, Ana M (…)2026-09-01
📄 earth_science

Body size reduction across Arctic flies: Evidence from two sampling periods separated by 60 years

This study demonstrates that eight Arctic fly species experienced a roughly 5% decline in body size over a 60-year period, a trend likely driven by rising spring temperatures and underscoring the critical need for digitized historical collections and long-term monitoring to track climate-induced trait shifts in Arctic ecosystems.

Anna M. Solecki, André Morrill, Terry A. Wheeler, Julia Mlynarek2026-09-01
📄 earth_science

Integrated multi-hazard climate risk across Egypt's water–coast–delta system: reservoir evaporation, coastal inundation, and socio-economic vulnerability

This study integrates assessments of Lake Nasser evaporation, Red Sea coastal screening, and Mediterranean Delta inundation within the IPCC AR6 framework to demonstrate that distinct climate risk pathways across Egypt's water–coast–delta system necessitate differentiated adaptation strategies.

Mohamed Rami Mahmoud, Mahmoud Roushdi, Hany Mostafa, Mostafa Aboelkhear, Dina Ibrahim2026-09-01
📄 earth_science

Forecasting Climate and Weather Variability Using AI-Based Hybrid LSTM and XGBoost Model

This paper proposes and validates a hybrid AI framework integrating LSTM and XGBoost models to accurately forecast key meteorological parameters in Eastern Ethiopia, demonstrating superior performance over standalone models and providing critical insights for enhancing disaster risk management and early warning systems against climate variability.

Kejela Adane Dulecha, Eliyab Yosef Delelew, Muhidin Mohammed Debiso2026-09-01
📄 earth_science

First records of Anemonia manjano (Carlgren 1900) in the Hawaiian Islands and the aquarium hobby as an increasingly important pathway for marine invasive species.

This paper reports the first discovery of the invasive majano anemone (*Anemonia manjano*) in Hawaiian waters at two O'ahu locations, where its rapid expansion from aquarium-derived introductions underscores the growing role of the aquarium hobby as a vector for marine invasive species.

Holly Bolick, Jesse Boord, Marie Ferguson, Julia Hartl, Kiana Lee, Elizabeth Monaghan, Nicole Olmsted2026-09-01
📄 earth_science

Extreme early-spring polar jet shifts reduce warm-season runoff in the snow-dominated upper Colorado River Basin

This study demonstrates that extreme northward shifts of the polar jet stream during early spring over western North America drive significantly warmer and drier conditions in the upper Colorado River Basin, leading to substantial snowpack loss and a 12.6–23.3% reduction in warm-season runoff primarily driven by precipitation deficits.

Yuan Qiu, James Famiglietti, Guo-Yue Niu, Ali Behrangi2026-09-01
📄 earth_science

Ranking uncertainties in EGF near-fault strong motion predictions: Application to the Middle Durance Fault (France)

This study ranks uncertainties in Empirical Green's Function (EGF) near-fault ground-motion predictions for the Middle Durance Fault, revealing that EGF source parameters (particularly seismic moment and stress drop) are the dominant contributors to variability, while a single EGF located close to the station can yield reliable predictions despite significant epistemic uncertainties.

Elias El Haber, Mathieu Causse, David Castro-Cruz, Ludivine Saint-Mard, Fabrice Hollender2026-09-01