earth_science papers | Gist.Science

Causal Causality Between Climate Change and Apricot Yield: The Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach

This study utilizes a dynamic Bootstrap Rolling Window approach on data from Malatya, Türkiye (1991–2024) to reveal that while static models fail to detect a consistent causal link between climate variables and apricot yields, specific periods of climatic stress—such as drought and unseasonal warmth—significantly and negatively impact production, thereby arguing for dynamic rather than fixed agricultural risk management strategies.

Kaan Kaplan, Didem Doğar, Adnan Çiçek2026-08-03

📄 earth science

Regional land status mapping using vegetation-water-drought spectral indices in the lower Ganges and Brahmaputra River basin

This study utilizes remote sensing and 14 spectral indices to analyze 20-year trends in the lower Ganges and Brahmaputra basin, revealing significant declines in surface water and forest cover alongside increases in built-up areas and drought frequency, thereby providing critical data for sustainable regional planning.

Md. Shajedul Islam, M. G. Mostafa2026-08-03

📄 earth science

Mercury Transport in a Soil-bentonite Backfill for Slurry Trench Cutoff Walls

This study demonstrates that soil-bentonite backfill mixtures, specifically those using Colombian bentonite to achieve low hydraulic conductivity, effectively retain over 94% of mercury from contaminated solutions through significant sorption, making them a viable barrier material for mitigating mercury transport in artisanal gold mining tailings ponds.

Hebenly CELIS LEGUIZAMO, Joan M. LARRAHONDO, Alejandro PÉREZ FLÓREZ, Jeffrey C. EVANS, Alfonso R. RODRÍGUEZ, Armando SAR (…)2026-08-03

📄 earth science

A reproducible algorithm and R implementation for classifying ecological flood pulse phases from flood-area time series

This paper introduces the Flood Pulse Phase Discrimination Index (FPDI), a reproducible R-based algorithm that classifies continuous flood-area time series into distinct ecological phases to operationalize flood-pulse theory for small floodplain systems, as demonstrated through a robust analysis of Lake Yardi in Ethiopia.

Kibru Zeleke2026-08-03

📄 earth science

VIUrb-7: A Dynamic Coupled ODE Model for Urban Tree Biomass and Allometric Prediction in Tropical Biomes

This paper introduces VIUrb-7, a novel dynamic coupled ODE model that significantly outperforms traditional allometric methods in predicting urban tree biomass across Brazilian tropical biomes by explicitly accounting for urban-specific stressors like drought and soil compaction.

Lucas Lima Freitag2026-08-03

📄 earth science

Pricing risk and planning restoration: An examination of management costs and actions on privately conserved land

This study of a New South Wales biodiversity offset program reveals that planned restoration costs are driven more by property-level administrative structures and allocations than by measurable site characteristics, highlighting a need for policy reforms to improve cost transparency and planning accuracy.

Stephanie Hernandez2026-08-03

📄 earth science

Forest-to-Tourism Conversion in Indonesia: A Systematic Literature Review of Ecological Outcomes, Livelihood Substitution, and Governance Failures (2010–2026)

This systematic literature review of 42 studies (2010–2026) reveals that while forest-to-tourism conversion in Indonesia is predominantly framed as a win-win strategy, empirical evidence is skewed by publication bias and geographic gaps, exposing critical governance failures and livelihood substitution gaps that undermine ecological integrity and community well-being.

Pramudya Bumishambara, Rheina Meuthia Ashari2026-08-03

📄 earth science

Spatial constraints and drivers of pastoral adaptation to climate change in West African rangelands: A multivariate probit analysis

This study analyzes spatial constraints and socio-economic drivers of pastoral adaptation in Burkina Faso using a multivariate probit model, revealing that climate-induced resource scarcity and conflicts compel herders to adopt integrated, complementary strategies influenced by household characteristics, thereby underscoring the need for policies that secure transhumance corridors and enhance resilience.

Idrissa Sawadogo, Philippe Bayen, Faustine Akosso Kouassi, Omonlola Nadine Worou2026-08-03

📄 earth science

Urban Heat Island expansion in Khulna City of Bangladesh (1995-2025): Linking LULC change and Land Surface Temperature to heat-related health and economic risks

This study analyzes the spatiotemporal expansion of the Urban Heat Island in Khulna City, Bangladesh (1995–2025), revealing that rapid urbanization and vegetation loss have significantly increased land surface temperatures, thereby exacerbating heat-related health risks for vulnerable populations and causing substantial socio-economic disruptions.

Halima Akter, Dipok Chandra Nath, Md. Abdur Rahman Bijoy, Irteja Hasan, Md. Riajul Islam, Hasan Shariar Shawron, Musrat (…)2026-08-03

📄 earth science

Assessment of Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk from Environmental Gamma Radiation in Ulaanbaatar City, Mongolia

This study evaluated environmental gamma radiation in Ulaanbaatar City using 2025 soil samples and Monte Carlo simulations, finding that the estimated excess lifetime cancer risk (0.261 ± 0.035)×10⁻³ is below international safety limits, thereby indicating a relatively low radiological risk for residents.

Erdev Batjargal, Enkhmaa Battogtvor, Batmunkh Sereeter, Battogtokh Zagd2026-08-03

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