📄 earth science

Impact attribution of climate and population change on compound flood impacts from tropical cyclone Idai in Mozambique

This study employs an extended storyline attribution framework to demonstrate that while both climate and population changes since 1975 have increased flood exposure from Tropical Cyclone Idai in Mozambique, population growth is the dominant driver, with climate change disproportionately affecting vulnerable socio-economic groups in ways that spatial aggregation can obscure.

Doris M. Vertegaal, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk, Anaïs Couasnon, Dominik Paprotny, Sanne Muis2026-06-29
📄 earth science

Slope stability and gully expansion rate prediction in southeastern Nigeria using an integrated Geotechnical, Statistical and GIS-Based approach

This study integrates geotechnical, statistical, and GIS-based analyses to demonstrate that the Opi–Ugwuogo road gullies in southeastern Nigeria, characterized by loose sandy soils with low shear strength, are primarily driven by road-induced runoff and exhibit rapid expansion rates of up to 17.6 m/year, rendering the slopes critically unstable under saturated conditions.

Mabel N. Ede, Michael E. Omeka, Ogbonnaya Igwe, Henry C. Eze, Godwin G. Amah, Victor E. Nyong, Esther E. Malik, Juliet U (…)2026-06-29
📄 earth science

Global evidence linking development-driven urban actions with climate change mitigation and adaptation outcomes

By analyzing 5,610 studies across 750+ cities, this research shifts the climate discourse from a climate-first approach to one where climate mitigation and adaptation are framed as co-benefits of development-driven urban actions, revealing how varying local motivations, action types, and barriers shape global climate outcomes.

Wenjia Cai, Han Zhao, Alexander Baklanov, Aliyu Barau, Frederic Bonou, Sorin Cheval, Felix Creutzig, Congkai Hong, Victo (…)2026-06-29
📄 earth science

Integrating eDNA into National Estuarine Monitoring: Successes, Challenges, and Trends

This study demonstrates that integrating eDNA metabarcoding into the National Estuarine Research Reserve System's monitoring program successfully expanded biodiversity characterization across US estuaries, despite facing operational challenges such as costs, detection uncertainties, and the need to balance standardization with evolving protocols.

Alison W Watts, Jeffrey T Miller, Fouad El Baidouri, Edward J Buskey, Laura C Crane, Nikki Dix, Matthew C Ferner, Heathe (…)2026-06-29
📄 earth science

The metazoan parasite infracommunities of flounders as indicators of environmental impact in the southern Gulf of Mexico: taxonomic and functional approaches

This study demonstrates that metazoan parasite infracommunities of flounders in the southern Gulf of Mexico serve as effective bioindicators of environmental impact, with taxonomic and functional approaches revealing stronger statistical associations with pollutants in the high-oil-extraction Campeche Sound region compared to areas affected by natural seeps or runoff.

Víctor M. Vidal-Martínez, Frank A. Ocaña, Lilia C. Soler-Jiménez, Jhonny G. García-Teh, Zita Paulette Arriaga Piñón, Iva (…)2026-06-29
📄 earth science

Extreme heat, socioenvironmental gradients and respiratory mortality in central Brazil

This study of 79 municipalities in Central Brazil reveals that extreme heat exposure is significantly associated with increased respiratory mortality, particularly in hot-dry areas characterized by high deforestation and socioeconomic vulnerability, highlighting the need for targeted climate-health adaptation strategies.

Silvia Rahe Pereira, Natalia Cristina de Oliveira, Mauricio Lamano Ferreira2026-06-29
📄 earth science

Planetary health protein targets for national and retailer food strategies

This study utilizes the FABIO database to translate the EAT-Lancet Planetary Health Diet into country-level protein benchmarks, revealing a global need to shift from animal to plant-based proteins to reduce emissions and land use while identifying key "Super Producer" and "Super Consumer" nations as critical leverage points for policy and retail strategies.

Helen Harwatt, Anniek Kortleve, José Mogollón, Paul Behrens2026-06-29
📄 earth science

Modelling São Paulo's Transport Sector Net-Zero Transition: Application of an Enhanced-FNN for HVO Biofuel Integration into the State's Energy Matrix

This study quantifies the significant CO2_2e emission reductions achievable through hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) integration in São Paulo's transport sector and demonstrates that an Enhanced Feedforward Neural Network outperforms traditional regression models in projecting these low-carbon pathways to 2050.

Edward Iwuchukwu, Thiago Brito, Marilin Santos, Edmilson Moutinho dos Santos2026-06-29
📄 earth science

Greenland Ice Sheet to fall below its Holocene minimum size by 2300

This study presents robust simulations indicating that under current warming trajectories, the Greenland Ice Sheet will shrink below its Holocene minimum size by 2300 CE, contributing 26–86 cm to sea-level rise, whereas substantial emissions reductions could limit this contribution to approximately 10 cm.

Joshua Cuzzone, Jason Briner, Gerard Otiniano, Olivia Truax, Elizabeth Thomas, Eric Steig, Gregory Hakim, Joseph Tulenko (…)2026-06-29