Integrating Explainable Machine Learning, Extreme Value Analysis, and CMIP6 Projections for Extreme Precipitation Prediction in the Eastern Mediterranean Coastal Region of Türkiye
This study integrates explainable machine learning, extreme value analysis, and CMIP6 projections to reveal a post-2020 precipitation regime shift in Türkiye's eastern Mediterranean coast, identifying near-surface humidity as the dominant driver of extremes while projecting a future of fewer but potentially more intense events under climate change scenarios.