📈 economics

USDT Premium as an Empirical Signal for Crisis Regime Identification: Evidence from the Stablecoin Market 2019-2026

This paper demonstrates that the USDT premium serves as a real-time, zero-latency signal for distinguishing between traditional finance crises, which drive positive premiums, and crypto-native crises, which drive negative premiums, thereby offering a unique empirical tool for crisis regime identification independent of delayed macroeconomic data.

Huy Vo Ngoc Quoc2026-07-02
📈 economics

When Does AI Adoption Enhance SME Innovation Performance? The Roles of Absorptive Capacity, Entrepreneurial Agility, and Digital Maturity

This study demonstrates that in SMEs, AI adoption enhances innovation performance not directly, but indirectly through a serial mediation pathway where adoption builds absorptive capacity to foster entrepreneurial agility, a process that is significantly strengthened by the firm's digital maturity.

Ali Zokaei Kuhbanani, Léo-Paul Dana, Mohammad Hadi Bolandian, Zahra Najafi Kalyani2026-07-02
📈 economics

Inflation Dynamics in Indonesia: A Systematic Review of Monetary Determinants, Growth Nexus, Spatial Transmission, and Forecasting Methodologies

This systematic review synthesizes nine empirical studies (2018–2026) to reveal that Indonesia's inflation is primarily driven by money supply and global food prices with a nonlinear growth threshold near 9.59%, exhibits significant spatial transmission across provinces, and is best forecasted using machine learning tools like LSTM, thereby highlighting the necessity for coordinated monetary-fiscal policies and region-sensitive strategies.

Terbit Mahardika Herlambang, Moses Glorino Rumambo Pandin2026-07-02
📈 economics

Analysing the Socio-Economic impact of petroleum prices volatility: Empirical Investigation through the lenses of Consumer perception and fiscal policy

This empirical study investigates how petroleum price volatility, driven by global fluctuations and domestic taxation, impacts consumer perception and the broader economy, ultimately concluding that balanced fiscal policies and tax reforms are essential to mitigate inflation and support sustainable energy growth.

Mani Pratap, Prashant Rajpoot, Suyash Kumar Vishwakarma2026-07-02
📈 economics

From Mandate to Margin: A Causal Investigation of Green Finance and Bank Profitability Following China's "Dual Carbon" Pledge

This study finds that China's 2020 "Dual Carbon" pledge significantly boosted the earnings per share of listed commercial banks with higher pre-existing green exposure, primarily through diversification into green fee-based businesses and improved risk composition, with effects concentrated in joint-equity banks rather than state-owned giants.

Rui Zhao, Bin Zhao2026-07-02
📈 economics

Generative AI impacts on intra-urban inequality and skill premium in Beijing

Using 5 million job postings from Beijing, this study reveals that Generative AI has deepened intra-urban inequality by concentrating exposure in core districts and creating a "high-skill trap" characterized by wage stagnation and task de-skilling, thereby challenging traditional theories of skill-biased technological change.

YUAN LAI, Xiliu He, Haoxiang Zhao, Mingyi Ma, Edward Lai, Koei Enomoto, Anni Hu, Jiatong Li, Lingyun Chu2026-07-02