econ papers | Gist.Science

Modeling rare-earth and energy materials supply chains under theoretical China-outer-Mongolia political reunification scenarios

This paper employs a dynamic partial equilibrium Stackelberg model to demonstrate that deepening resource integration between China and Outer Mongolia under a theoretical reunification scenario could significantly boost rare earth output, lower global prices, and enhance China's supply security and social welfare, while highlighting the substantial economic costs of infrastructure delays and the welfare losses imposed on global industrial consumers.

Xi Liu, Wenxi Fang2026-07-22

📈 economics

Debt Servicing, Exchange Rate Depreciation, and Inflation in Ghana: Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing and NARDL Asymmetric Analysis

This study utilizes ARDL and NARDL frameworks to analyze Ghana's 1993–2024 data, revealing that while structural breaks limit long-run cointegration, public debt servicing negatively impacts inflation through demand crowding-out, whereas exchange rate movements symmetrically drive inflation and GDP growth dampens it.

Isaac Nyame, Gabriel Osei Forkuo2026-07-22

📈 economics

The Impact of Climate Change on Industrial and Total Productivity: Study Comparisons Among ASEAN and OECD Countries

This study employs a dynamic panel analysis of 28 OECD and ASEAN countries to reveal that while ASEAN economies face immediate, severe productivity losses due to their proximity to critical temperature thresholds, OECD nations currently exhibit short-term resilience but face significant long-term risks to industrial output, underscoring the critical role of industrial structure and adaptive capacity in shaping heterogeneous climate vulnerabilities.

DZAKYATUR ROVIDAH, Wida Reza Hardiyanti2026-07-22

📈 economics

Energy Transition, Green Investment, and Structural Transformation in Algeria: A Green Stock-Flow Consistent Macroeconomic Model

This paper develops and calibrates a Green Stock-Flow Consistent macroeconomic model tailored to Algeria's hydrocarbon-dependent economy to demonstrate that a phased carbon tax combined with targeted renewable investment can drive medium-run economic diversification and employment, despite short-term inflationary pressures.

Sid Ahmed ZENAGUI2026-07-22

📈 economics

Impact of Board Gender Diversity on Corporate Social Responsibility: Evidence from Sharīʿah Compliant Firms of Pakistan

This study analyzes data from Pakistan's Sharīʿah-compliant firms (2008–2019) to demonstrate that greater board gender diversity positively influences all dimensions of corporate social responsibility, suggesting that increasing female representation on these boards enhances social performance.

Syed Danial Hashmi2026-07-22

📈 economics

An Auditable Framework for Stablecoin Depeg Detection: Validation, Bias Quantification and Evidence from a Decade of Stablecoin Data

This paper proposes an auditable framework to demonstrate that the measured frequency and severity of stablecoin depegs are not neutral market properties but are significantly driven by methodological choices in detection rules, data sources, and validation criteria.

Nilton Gomes Furtado, Julia Vasconcelos Furtado, José Ricardo Filgueiras2026-07-21

📈 economics

Unproductive rebound: Experimental evidence from four countries

Through a pre-registered experiment involving 4,586 participants across four countries, this study reveals that efficiency improvements often trigger "unproductive rebound," where lower input costs lead to significantly increased resource consumption without corresponding gains in output, a behavior that persists even when environmental costs are made salient.

Adriana Gaviria, Umair Ashraf Rana, Marisa Bucheli, Miguel Carriquiry, Bartlomiej Dessoulavy-Sliwinski, Filippos Exadakt (…)2026-07-21

📈 economics

Joint Identification of Beliefs and Preferences from Point and Density Forecasts

This paper develops a decision-theoretic framework demonstrating that the joint observation of point and density forecasts in survey data enables the separate identification of agents' beliefs and preferences, revealing richer information about expectation formation than previously recognized.

Ayush Jha, Frank Fabozzi2026-07-21

📈 economics

Forced Labour Risk Footprints of Japan’s Final Demand for Manufactured Products

This study utilizes a multi-regional input-output model to estimate that Japan's 2021 manufacturing final demand is linked to approximately 51,000 worker-equivalents of forced labour risk, primarily concentrated in emerging Asian economies and specific sectors like food, electronics, and apparel, thereby highlighting the need for consumption-based human rights due diligence aligned with UN Sustainable Development Goals.

Fumiya NAGASHIMA2026-07-21

📈 economics

Institutional Quality and Human Development in Asia: The Mediating Role of E‑Governance and the Limits of Digital and Fiscal Moderation

This study of 39 Asian economies reveals that institutional quality enhances human development primarily through the mediating mechanism of e-governance, while digital readiness and income levels fail to significantly moderate this relationship, suggesting that governance mechanisms are more critical than macro-level enabling conditions.

ANDI JAM'AN2026-07-21

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