📈 economics

Transparent Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) Risk Score Prediction Using Machine Learning and Explainable AI

This study demonstrates that an explainable machine learning pipeline, specifically utilizing XGBoost combined with SHAP and LIME techniques on public data, can effectively predict transparent and reproducible Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) risk scores, offering a viable alternative to proprietary rating systems.

Avuzwa Lerotholi, Ibidun Christiana Obagbuwa, Olaperi Okuboyejo2026-08-26
📈 economics

Green Knowledge Recombination and Urban Carbon Intensity: University–Industry Collaboration and the Conditioning Role of Regional Green Innovation Efficiency

This study analyzes a panel of 212 Chinese cities to demonstrate that university–industry collaboration fosters greater green knowledge recombination distance and diversity, which are associated with reduced urban carbon intensity, particularly when reinforced by regional green innovation efficiency, though the findings represent conditional associations rather than definitive causal effects.

Qing Lu, Yayu Xu, Zehai Zhou, Jianping Gu2026-08-26
📈 economics

Closing the Clean Energy Manufacturing Gap: A Strategic Financing Framework for U.S. Solar, Battery, and Wind Component Supply Chains

This paper proposes and validates the Clean Energy Manufacturing Finance Framework (CEMFF), a strategic blended capital structure designed to mobilize private investment and close the U.S. domestic clean energy manufacturing gap with China by significantly reducing financing costs and achieving cost competitiveness in 78% of modeled scenarios.

Stefan Daniel Anim-Sampong, Prosper Abuanor, Kwaku Sarpong Mensah-Bonsu2026-08-26
📈 economics

The Prosperity Gate: A Statistical Foundation for the Political Inclusion–Prosperity Relationship

This paper utilizes a quarter-century of World Bank Governance Indicators to demonstrate that political inclusion causally drives prosperity only after surpassing a critical "Prosperity Gate" threshold, whereas prosperity rarely leads to political inclusion, thereby validating the view that democracy is a prerequisite for wealth rather than merely its reward.

Noah Vella, Hermann Josef Stern2026-08-26
📈 economics

Financial inclusion indicators as determinants of economic growth in selected LMI African countries

Using panel regression analysis on secondary data from selected Low- and Middle-Income African countries, this study finds that commercial bank branches and deposit accounts have a statistically significant negative impact on real GDP growth, despite concluding that financial inclusion generally contributes to economic growth determinants through credit access and savings mobilization.

Ayodele Oluwole OJEBIYI, Akeem Adewale BAKARE, Professor Umar Abbas IBRAHIM, Professor Taiwo Adewale MURITALA2026-08-26