📈 economics

Clean Technology Diffusion Under Conditions of Interlocking Global Crises

This report argues that while clean technology is rapidly arriving in emerging economies, structural transformation stalls because debt, climate, and geopolitical pressures interact as an interlocking system that unevenly constrains different layers of the technology balance sheet, necessitating a strategic shift from measuring mere technology arrival to ensuring its deep economic embedding through targeted financial and policy reforms.

Hunter Hughes2026-09-23
📈 economics

Are Whitepaper Claims Reflected in Market Structure? A Contamination-Aware Pipeline and a Power-Limited Null

This paper presents a contamination-aware pipeline that reveals a previously reported link between cryptocurrency whitepaper narratives and market structure was an artifact of data errors, while an honest null result on the cleaned dataset indicates that current text-based methods lack the statistical power to detect weak alignment, though they can confidently rule out strong correspondence.

Murad Farzulla2026-09-23
📈 economics

Nowcasting Italian Municipal Income with Nightlights: A Deep Learning Approach

This study demonstrates that a single-layer GRU deep learning model utilizing NASA Black Marble nightlight data significantly outperforms traditional spatial and linear econometric benchmarks in nowcasting Italian municipal taxable income, proving that capturing non-linearities and cross-sectional heterogeneity is essential for extracting genuine predictive content from satellite imagery.

Massimo Giannini2026-09-23
📈 economics

Following the Money Trail: Unearthing Socio-Economic Drivers of Human Trafficking in South and Central Asia—A GMM-Based Empirical Analysis

This study employs a dynamic panel GMM approach to analyze 12 South and Central Asian countries from 2015 to 2025, revealing that human trafficking exhibits long-term persistence and is significantly driven by lagged poverty and refugee populations, while education offers a delayed protective effect, thereby highlighting the need for long-term socio-economic interventions alongside immediate anti-trafficking measures.

Mudassar Rashid, Ali Rafi Ahmad, Nabila Khurshid2026-09-22
📈 economics

The Moderating Role of Optimal Board Size in the Relationship Between Earnings Management and Firm Performance in GCC Countries

Based on a study of 188 listed companies in GCC countries from 2017 to 2021, the research finds that while earnings management negatively impacts firm performance, having an optimal board size of at least nine members not only enhances performance directly but also mitigates the adverse effects of earnings management.

Sulaiman Alsudays, Ahnaf Ali Alsmady, Nouf Binhadab, Sheela Sundarasen2026-09-22