📈 economics

Evaluating Machine Learning and Econometric Models for Inflation Forecasting: Evidence from a Sub-Saharan African Panel

This study evaluates various machine learning and econometric models for inflation forecasting across eight Sub-Saharan African economies and finds that, due to structural breaks and high volatility, no complex model statistically outperforms a simple naive persistence baseline, suggesting that regional policymakers should maintain simple models as active benchmarks.

Baffour Osei, Abigail Boatemaa, Isaac Nyame, Gabriel Osei Forkuo2026-07-16
📈 economics

Climate Finance and Macroeconomic Sustainability: A Systematic and Bibliometric Review

This study conducts a systematic and bibliometric review of 89 peer-reviewed publications to map the intellectual evolution of climate finance literature, identifying six key thematic areas and highlighting critical gaps in long-run macroeconomic evidence, particularly for emerging economies, to inform future research and policy strategies for sustainable development.

SAKSHI JAIN, ANANDAJIT GOSWAMI2026-07-16
📈 economics

Socio-Technical Outcome Asymmetry in Algorithmic Management: Organizational Buffering and Firm Age as Moderators in Indonesian Firms

This study introduces the Socio-Technical Outcome Asymmetry (STOA) framework to demonstrate that in Indonesian firms, algorithmic management yields significantly greater efficiency gains than surveillance harms, with firm age acting as a critical buffer that mitigates negative outcomes while the STOA model extends Socio-Technical Systems theory through new asymmetry and buffering mechanisms.

Andi Jaman2026-07-16
📈 economics

Multidimentional Poverty in East Java, Indonesia: Systematic Literature Review of Spatial Drivers, Capability Deprivations, and Policy Interventions

This systematic literature review of 29 studies on East Java identifies spatial inequality, human capital limitations, and institutional capacity as key drivers of multidimensional poverty, proposing a place-sensitive framework that integrates capability development, regional collaboration, and data-driven interventions to enhance the effectiveness of village-based policy measures.

Anik Maslachah, Moses Glorino Rumambo Pandin2026-07-16
📈 economics

Modeling the Impact of Happiness and Behavioral-Economic Factors on Saving and Investment Willingness: Evidence from Individual Investors in Himachal Pradesh Using SEM

This study utilizes structural equation modeling on survey data from 400 individual investors in Himachal Pradesh to reveal that while economic and non-economic factors significantly influence saving willingness, only non-economic factors significantly impact stock investment willingness, whereas happiness and economic factors show no significant effect on investment or institutional saving behaviors.

Chhaya Devi, Manoj Sharma, Yogesh Gupta2026-07-16
📈 economics

Financial Risk Analysis of Green Certificate Market Based on Sustainable Development of Renewable Energy

This study employs a "goal-mechanism-risk-governance" framework and empirical analysis of Chinese data to identify critical financial risks in the green certificate market, revealing significant price volatility, liquidity paradoxes, and high entity concentration that collectively elevate the comprehensive financial risk index despite rising certificate prices.

Zhongying Zhang2026-07-16
📈 economics

Does the digital transformation of listed tourism companies help improve investor relations? - Evidence from the interaction of information in capital markets

This study demonstrates that the digital transformation of listed tourism companies significantly improves investor relations by enhancing response accuracy through technological advancement, information processing, and management confidence, ultimately alleviating financing constraints, particularly within state-owned, profitable, and emerging sector enterprises.

Chu Wang, Yunlai Zhang, Yuyi Mao2026-07-16
📈 economics

Capital Flows, Unequal Futures: Financial Globalization, Machine Learning and the Distributional Architecture of Income Inequality

This study utilizes advanced empirical methods, including machine learning, on a global panel dataset to demonstrate that financial globalization exacerbates income inequality through nonlinear and conditional mechanisms, arguing that its impact is ultimately a distributional policy challenge dependent on domestic buffers like education, social protection, and institutional quality.

Ghulam Nabi, Muhammad Ather Ashraf, Jawad Ahmad2026-07-16