📈 economics

Fuel-Food Price Transmission in a Conflict-Affected Food System: Evidence from Diesel, Wheat, and Sugar Markets in Syria

This study utilizes wavelet coherence and time-varying parameter models to demonstrate that fuel-food price transmission in Syria's conflict-affected markets is time-varying and frequency-specific, weakening during intense conflict but strengthening post-2016 as trade routes and market institutions stabilized, with significant regional disparities centered on Damascus and Aleppo.

Jin Guo, Tetsuji Tanaka, Xiufang Wang2026-10-23
📈 economics

“Long Term Labor Market Consequences of Keeping Girls in School: Evidence from a Conditional Cash Transfer in India

This paper utilizes a quasi-experimental framework to demonstrate that a Conditional Cash Transfer program in West Bengal, India, which kept girls in school, significantly increased long-term female labor force participation, particularly in salaried and high-return manufacturing jobs, while also fostering shifts in gendered social norms.

Saheli Bose, Somdeep Chatterjee2026-10-23
📈 economics

Trade shocks redraw the global carbon map but do not shrink it:product-level evidence from integration and fragmentation

This paper utilizes product-level data and natural experiments to demonstrate that while trade shocks significantly redistribute the geographic location of carbon-intensive production, they fail to reduce total global carbon emissions, implying that trade-driven decarbonization is primarily a redistribution of emissions rather than a net reduction.

Florian Pothin2026-10-23
📈 economics

Making green finance actionable: overall enablement and domain configuration in household green-technology adoption

Based on a predictive analysis of 2,529 Vietnamese households, this study demonstrates that while green finance availability is a necessary entry condition, household adoption of low-carbon technologies is most effectively driven by a two-layer framework combining a common enablement core with a specific configuration of ten financial, cognitive, and operational domains.

Quy Hao Nghiem, Tran Vu Dang Le2026-10-23
📈 economics

Indonesia’s Nickel Downstreaming: Contained-Metal Transformation, Rent Distribution, National Value Retention and Carbon Exposure

This paper evaluates Indonesia's nickel downstreaming policies by distinguishing between export bans, physical transformation, territorial value added, and nationally retained mineral rents, finding that while the country achieved significant industrial transformation, its ultimate economic success hinges on rent retention and lower-carbon processing rather than gross processed exports alone.

Juan Ignacio Guzmán, José Joaquín Jara, Vicente Arriagada, Jorge Bravo, Felipe Mora2026-10-23
📈 economics

Governance Trust and Investment Behaviour as Pathways to Sustainable Hotel Development in Uzbekistan

This study utilizes Institutional Theory and PLS-SEM analysis of 328 Uzbek hotel executives to demonstrate that trust in governance systems significantly drives hotel performance and investment intentions through a positive investment environment, with these relationships further moderated by hotel size and ownership structure, thereby highlighting governance trust as a critical factor for sustainable tourism development aligned with UN SDGs.

Xusanov Chari Kadirovich, Narzullaeva Fariza Akmalevna, Amir Shahzad, Muhammad Ramzan Ali, Zulaykho Kadirova, Muhammad F (…)2026-10-23
📈 economics

Can Fee-to-Tax Reform Deliver Multiple Dividends? Evidence on the Environmental, Technological, and Economic Effects in Water-Intensive Firms

Using a multi-period difference-in-differences design on Chinese water-intensive firms, this study finds that the water resource fee-to-tax reform successfully generates environmental and technological dividends by reducing water consumption and boosting innovation, though its economic benefits remain conditional and uneven across firm stages and regional water scarcity levels.

Ang Li, Yining Chen, Yuchen Zhang, Yuxuan Hai2026-10-23