Fuel-Food Price Transmission in a Conflict-Affected Food System: Evidence from Diesel, Wheat, and Sugar Markets in Syria
This study utilizes wavelet coherence and time-varying parameter models to demonstrate that fuel-food price transmission in Syria's conflict-affected markets is time-varying and frequency-specific, weakening during intense conflict but strengthening post-2016 as trade routes and market institutions stabilized, with significant regional disparities centered on Damascus and Aleppo.