econ papers | Gist.Science

The Unified Field of Spreads: The China-U.S. Yield Spread as a Regime Variable in Global Asset Pricing—On the Hierarchical Structure of Institutional Interfaces and Supplements to Interest Rate Parity, the Triffin Dilemma, and Related Theories

This paper proposes the "Unified Field of Spreads" hypothesis, demonstrating that the China-U.S. yield spread functions as a critical regime variable that determines the pricing dynamics of global core assets like gold and crude oil, thereby shifting the pricing anchor from U.S. to Chinese interest rates and necessitating a revision of classical theories such as Interest Rate Parity and the Triffin Dilemma.

Shuiping Tang2026-07-15

📈 economics

An Interactive Business Intelligence Framework for Retail Sales Analytics: A Coffee Roasters Case Study

This paper presents the design and development of an interactive Business Intelligence dashboard for a coffee roaster, utilizing Python, SQLite, Streamlit, Plotly, and Tableau to analyze retail sales data, identify revenue-driving products, and optimize inventory prioritization to enhance operational efficiency and strategic decision-making.

Gunjan Sahoo2026-07-15

📈 economics

COVID-19 and Funding-Rate Segmentation in China's Money Market: Evidence from Early 2020 and the Interpretation of Monetary Policy Operations

This study analyzes daily data from early 2020 to reveal how COVID-19 cases and PBOC liquidity operations contemporaneously influenced China's money-market funding spreads, while clarifying that these correlations reflect market co-movements rather than causal evidence of monetary policy effectiveness.

Hao Hu, Yuxin Yu2026-07-15

📈 economics

Medical Loss Ratio and Accounting-Based Financial Fragility among Brazilian Health Plan Operators: A Predictive Panel Study

This predictive panel study demonstrates that a high Medical Loss Ratio (MLR) serves as a significant, threshold-based early-warning indicator for future financial fragility, market exit, and forced regulatory exit among Brazilian health plan operators, particularly when MLR exceeds 0.835, though it functions best as a partial marker rather than a standalone screening tool.

Hudson Fernando Couto, Antônio Artur de Sousa2026-07-15

📈 economics

Demand-Mediated Rather Than Productivity-Led Wages: Evidence from Albania

Using Albanian data from 2000–2024, this paper demonstrates that annual wage dynamics are more consistently driven by demand-side factors like GDP, consumption, and remittances than by a direct, stable pass-through of measured labour productivity, suggesting that in small, open economies, wage growth is primarily demand-mediated rather than productivity-led.

Admir Mulaj, Adela Karapici2026-07-15

📈 economics

Disruptive Technologies, Incomplete Transformations: Human Capital as the Overlooked Variable in Transformative Business Models

This paper argues that the frequent failure of transformative business models stems not from technological shortcomings but from the neglect of human capital, proposing an integrative framework where aligning HR architecture with strategic reconfiguration is essential for successful organizational adaptation.

Guidkaya Zamba2026-07-15

📈 economics

Green Digital Transformation and Sustainable Growth of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises in Vietnam

Drawing on Dynamic Capability Theory, Resource-Based View, and Natural Resource-Based View, this study of 388 Vietnamese SMEs demonstrates that digital transformation drives sustainable growth by enhancing green transformation capabilities and organizational adaptability, which in turn foster green innovation and resource optimization.

THAN TRONG THUY, NGUYEN THI MONG THU, TRAN NHAT TRUONG2026-07-15

📈 economics

Scenario-Based Markov Modeling: An Exploratory Analysis of AI's Potential Impact on Customer Retention – The Netflix Case

This exploratory study utilizes a Markov chain simulation and theoretical frameworks to demonstrate that, under specific assumptions, AI-driven personalization mechanisms could hypothetically more than double customer retention for Netflix compared to a low-AI baseline, while highlighting the need to view AI as a dynamic capability and addressing associated ethical concerns.

Tahar Braknia2026-07-15

📈 economics

Global GHG Emission Dynamics, Regional Convergence, and Cross-Border Emission Spillovers: Evidence from a Hierarchical Dynamic Factor Model

Using a hierarchical Dynamic Factor Model on global EDGAR data from 1970 to 2024, this study reveals that greenhouse gas emissions are driven primarily by structural forces rather than climate policies, exhibit a persistent two-club divergence pattern across regions, and show evidence of significant cross-border spillovers from Europe to North America and Latin America, though causal attribution to carbon leakage remains statistically inconclusive.

Aránzazu de Juan Fernández2026-07-15

📈 economics

Evaluating trade-offs of net private and net social benefit – an integrated assessment framework for biomass utilization pathways

This study proposes an integrated assessment framework combining techno-economic analysis, life cycle assessment, and externality monetization to evaluate the trade-offs between net private and net social benefits across diverse biomass utilization pathways, demonstrating through a German miscanthus case study that while bioenergy and biochar carbon removal differ in financial viability, both can generate positive societal value.

Johanna Ruett, Ali Abdelshafy, Grit Walther2026-07-15

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