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Prospects for geoneutrino detection with JUNO

This paper presents an updated sensitivity analysis for the JUNO experiment, demonstrating that its unprecedented data collection capabilities will enable world-leading precision in measuring total geoneutrino flux and separating Uranium-238 and Thorium-232 contributions within a decade, thereby providing crucial insights into Earth's composition and heat budget.

Original authors: Thomas Adam, Shakeel Ahmad, Rizwan Ahmed, Fengpeng An, João Pedro Athayde Marcondes de André, Costas Andreopoulos, Giuseppe Andronico, Nikolay Anfimov, Vito Antonelli, Tatiana Antoshkina, Didier Augus
Published 2026-10-09
📖 6 min read🧠 Deep dive

Original authors: Thomas Adam, Shakeel Ahmad, Rizwan Ahmed, Fengpeng An, João Pedro Athayde Marcondes de André, Costas Andreopoulos, Giuseppe Andronico, Nikolay Anfimov, Vito Antonelli, Tatiana Antoshkina, Didier Auguste, Marcel Büchner, Weidong Bai, Nikita Balashov, Andrea Barresi, Davide Basilico, Eric Baussan, Marco Beretta, Antonio Bergnoli, Nikita Bessonov, Daniel Bick, Lukas Bieger, Svetlana Biktemerova, Thilo Birkenfeld, Simon Blyth, Manuel Boehles, Anastasia Bolshakova, Mathieu Bongrand, Matteo Borghesi, Dominique Breton, Augusto Brigatti, Riccardo Brugnera, Riccardo Bruno, Antonio Budano, Jose Busto, Anatael Cabrera, Barbara Caccianiga, Hao Cai, Xiao Cai, Stéphane Callier, Steven Calvez, Antonio Cammi, Guofu Cao, Jun Cao, Yaoqi Cao, Rossella Caruso, Cédric Cerna, Vanessa Cerrone, Jinfan Chang, Yun Chang, Tim Charisse, Auttakit Chatrabhuti, Chao Chen, Haotian Chen, Jiahui Chen, Jian Chen, Jing Chen, Junyou Chen, Pingping Chen, Shaomin Chen, Shiqiang Chen, Yixue Chen, Yu Chen, Ze Chen, Zhangming Chen, Zhiyuan Chen, Zhongchang Chen, Jie Cheng, Yaping Cheng, Yu Chin Cheng, Alexander Chepurnov, Alexey Chetverikov, Davide Chiesa, Pietro Chimenti, Po-Lin Chou, Ziliang Chu, Artem Chukanov, Gérard Claverie, Catia Clementi, Barbara Clerbaux, Claudio Coletta, Marta Colomer Molla, Chenyang Cui, Ziyan Deng, Xiaoyu Ding, Xuefeng Ding, Yayun Ding, Bayu Dirgantara, Sergey Dmitrievsky, Dmitry Dolzhikov, Chuanshi Dong, Haojie Dong, Jianmeng Dong, Evgeny Doroshkevich, Marcos Dracos, Frédéric Druillole, Ran Du, Shuxian Du, Katherine Dugas, Stefano Dusini, Hongyue Duyang, Jessica Eck, Andrea Fabbri, Ulrike Fahrendholz, Lei Fan, Liangqianjin Fan, Jian Fang, Wenxing Fang, Elia Stanescu Farilla, Dmitry Fedoseev, Li-Cheng Feng, Qichun Feng, Shaoting Feng, Daniela Fetzer, Marcellin Fotzé, Amélie Fournier, Aaron Freegard, Ying Fu, Haonan Gan, Feng Gao, Ruohan Gao, Alberto Garfagnini, Arsenii Gavrikov, Marco Giammarchi, Nunzio Giudice, Maxim Gonchar, Guanda Gong, Guanghua Gong, Yuri Gornushkin, Marco Grassi, Maxim Gromov, Vasily Gromov, Minhao Gu, Xiaofei Gu, Yu Gu, Mengyun Guan, Yuduo Guan, Nunzio Guardone, Rosa Maria Guizzetti, Cong Guo, Wanlei Guo, Caren Hagner, Hechong Han, Yang Han, Chuanhui Hao, Vidhya Thara Hariharan, Miao He, Wei He, Xinhai He, Ziou He, Tobias Heinz, Patrick Hellmuth, Yuekun Heng, YuenKeung Hor, Shaojing Hou, Fatima Houria, Yee Hsiung, Bei-Zhen Hu, Hang Hu, Jun Hu, Tao Hu, Yuxiang Hu, Guihong Huang, Jinhao Huang, Junlin Huang, Junting Huang, Kaixuan Huang, Shengheng Huang, Tao Huang, Xin Huang, Xingtao Huang, Yongbo Huang, Jiaqi Hui, Lei Huo, Cédric Huss, Safeer Hussain, Leonard Imbert, Ara Ioannisian, Adrienne Jacobi, Arshak Jafar, Beatrice Jelmini, Xiangpan Ji, Xiaolu Ji, Junji Jia, Cailian Jiang, Guangzheng Jiang, Junjie Jiang, Xiaoshan Jiang, Xiaozhao Jiang, Yijian Jiang, Yixuan Jiang, Xiaoping Jing, Cécile Jollet, Liam Jones, Li Kang, Narine Kazarian, Ali Khan, Amina Khatun, Khanchai Khosonthongkee, Denis Korablev, Konstantin Kouzakov, Alexey Krasnoperov, Sergey Kuleshov, Sindhujha Kumaran, Nikolay Kutovskiy, Loïc Labit, Tobias Lachenmaier, Haojing Lai, Cecilia Landini, Lorenzo Lastrucci, Sébastien Leblanc, Matthieu Lecocq, Frederic Lefevre, Ruiting Lei, Rupert Leitner, Petr Lenskii, Jason Leung, Demin Li, Fei Li, Gaosong Li, Jiajun Li, Meiou Li, Min Li, Nan Li, Ruhui Li, Rui Li, Shanfeng Li, Teng Li, Weidong Li, Xiaonan Li, Yi Li, Yichen Li, Yifan Li, Yingke Li, Yufeng Li, Zhaohan Li, Zhibing Li, Zhiwei Li, Zi-Ming Li, An-An Liang, Jiajun Liao, Minghua Liao, Yilin Liao, Ayut Limphirat, Bo-Chun Lin, Guey-Lin Lin, Shengxin Lin, Tao Lin, Xingyi Lin, Jiajie Ling, Xin Ling, Ivano Lippi, Caimei Liu, Fang Liu, Fengcheng Liu, Haidong Liu, Hongbang Liu, Hongjuan Liu, Jianglai Liu, Jiaxi Liu, Jinchang Liu, Kainan Liu, Min Liu, Qian Liu, Runxuan Liu, Shenghui Liu, Shulin Liu, Ximing Liu, Xiwen Liu, Xuewei Liu, Yankai Liu, Yiqi Liu, Zhipeng Liu, Zhuo Liu, Lorenzo Loi, Alexey Lokhov, Paolo Lombardi, Kai Loo, Selma Conforti Di Lorenzo, Chuan Lu, Haoqi Lu, Junguang Lu, Meishu Lu, Shuxiang Lu, Xianguo Lu, Bayarto Lubsandorzhiev, Sultim Lubsandorzhiev, Livia Ludhova, Arslan Lukanov, Fengjiao Luo, Guang Luo, Jianyi Luo, Shu Luo, Wuming Luo, Xiaojie Luo, Vladimir Lyashuk, Bangzheng Ma, Bing Ma, Qiumei Ma, Si Ma, Wing Yan Ma, Xiaoyan Ma, Xubo Ma, Jihane Maalmi, Jingyu Mai, Marco Malabarba, Yury Malyshkin, Roberto Carlos Mandujano, Fabio Mantovani, Xin Mao, Stefano M. Mari, Agnese Martini, Johann Martyn, Matthias Mayer, Davit Mayilyan, William McDonough, Yue Meng, Anselmo Meregaglia, Lino Miramonti, Michele Montuschi, Iwan Morton-Blake, Xiangyi Mu, Massimiliano Nastasi, Dmitry V. Naumov, Elena Naumova, Igor Nemchenok, Elisabeth Neuerburg, Alexey Nikolaev, Feipeng Ning, Zhe Ning, Yujie Niu, Hiroshi Nunokawa, Lothar Oberauer, Juan Pedro Ochoa-Ricoux, Sebastian Olivares, Alexander Olshevskiy, Domizia Orestano, Fausto Ortica, Rainer Othegraven, Yifei Pan, Alessandro Paoloni, George Parker, Yatian Pei, Luca Pelicci, Anguo Peng, Yu Peng, Zhaoyuan Peng, Elisa Percalli, Willy Perrin, Frédéric Perrot, Pierre-Alexandre Petitjean, Fabrizio Petrucci, Oliver Pilarczyk, Artyom Popov, Pascal Poussot, Ezio Previtali, Fazhi Qi, Ming Qi, Sen Qian, Xiaohui Qian, Zhonghua Qin, Shoukang Qiu, Manhao Qu, Zhenning Qu, Gioacchino Ranucci, Thomas Raymond, Alessandra Re, Abdel Rebii, Mariia Redchuk, Bin Ren, Yuhan Ren, Cristobal Morales Reveco, Barbara Ricci, Mariam Rifai, Mathieu Roche, Narongkiat Rodphai, Fernanda de Faria Rodrigues, Aldo Romani, Bedřich Roskovec, Peter Rudakov, Arseniy Rybnikov, Andrey Sadovsky, Deshan Sandanayake, Anut Sangka, Ujwal Santhosh, Utane Sawangwit, Michaela Schever, Cédric Schwab, Konstantin Schweizer, Alexandr Selyunin, Andrea Serafini, Mariangela Settimo, Yanjun Shang, Junyu Shao, Anurag Sharma, Vladislav Sharov, Hangyu Shi, Hexi SHI, Jingyan Shi, Yuan Shi, Yike Shu, Yuhan Shu, She Shuai, Vitaly Shutov, Andrey Sidorenkov, Fedor Šimkovic, Randhir Singh, Apeksha Singhal, Chiara Sirignano, Jaruchit Siripak, Monica Sisti, Mikhail Smirnov, Oleg Smirnov, Thiago Sogo-Bezerra, Sergey Sokolov, Julanan Songwadhana, Albert Sotnikov, Warintorn Sreethawong, Achim Stahl, Luca Stanco, Konstantin Stankevich, Hans Steiger, Jochen Steinmann, Tobias Sterr, Matthias Raphael Stock, Virginia Strati, Mikhail Strizh, Alexander Studenikin, Aoqi Su, Jun Su, Guangbao Sun, Mingxia Sun, Xilei Sun, Yongzhao Sun, Zhanxue Sun, Zhengyang Sun, Narumon Suwonjandee, Christophe De La Taille, Akira Takenaka, Xiaohan Tan, Haozhong Tang, Jian Tang, Jingzhe Tang, Quan Tang, Xiao Tang, Jihua Tao, Minh Thuan Nguyen Thi, Yuxin Tian, Igor Tkachev, Tomas Tmej, Marco Danilo Claudio Torri, Andrea Triossi, Wladyslaw Trzaska, Andrei Tsaregorodtsev, Yu-Chen Tung, Cristina Tuve, Nikita Ushakov, Carlo Venettacci, Giuseppe Verde, Maxim Vialkov, Benoit Viaud, Cornelius Moritz Vollbrecht, Vit Vorobel, Dmitriy Voronin, Lucia Votano, Andong Wang, Caishen Wang, Chung-Hsiang Wang, En Wang, Hanwen Wang, Jiabin Wang, Jun Wang, Ke Wang, Li Wang, Meng Wang, Meng Wang, Mingyuan Wang, Ruiguang Wang, Sibo Wang, Tianhong Wang, Wei Wang, Wenshuai Wang, Wenyuan Wang, Xi Wang, Yangfu Wang, Yaoguang Wang, Yi Wang, Yifang Wang, Yuyi Wang, Zhe Wang, Zheng Wang, Zhimin Wang, Apimook Watcharangkool, Junya Wei, Jushang Wei, Wei Wei, Wei Wei, Yadong Wei, Yuehuan Wei, Zhengbao Wei, Liangjian Wen, Jun Weng, Scott Wipperfurth, Rosmarie Wirth, Bi Wu, Chengxin Wu, Qun Wu, Yinhui Wu, Zhaoxiang Wu, Zhi Wu, Michael Wurm, Jacques Wurtz, Yufei Xi, Dongmei Xia, Shishen Xian, Ziqian Xiang, Fei Xiao, Pengfei Xiao, Tianying Xiao, Xiang Xiao, Wei-Jun Xie, Xiaochuan Xie, Yuguang Xie, Zhao Xin, Zhizhong Xing, Benda Xu, Cheng Xu, Chuang Xu, Donglian Xu, Fanrong Xu, Jiayang Xu, Jie Xu, Jilei Xu, Jinghuan Xu, Meihang Xu, Shiwen Xu, Xunjie Xu, Ya Xu, Dongyang Xue, Jingqin Xue, Baojun Yan, Qiyu Yan, Taylor Yan, Xiongbo Yan, Yupeng Yan, Changgen Yang, Chengfeng Yang, Dikun Yang, Fengfan Yang, Jie Yang, Kaiwei Yang, Lei Yang, Pengfei Yang, Xiaoyu Yang, Xuhui Yang, Yifan Yang, Zekun Yang, Haifeng Yao, Jiaxaun Ye, Mei Ye, Ziping Ye, Frédéric Yermia, Jilong Yin, Weiqing Yin, Xiaohao Yin, Zhengyun You, Boxiang Yu, Chiye Yu, Chunxu Yu, Hongzhao Yu, Peidong Yu, Simi Yu, Zeyuan Yu, Cenxi Yuan, Noman Zafar, Jilberto Zamora, Vitalii Zavadskyi, Fanrui Zeng, Shan Zeng, Tingxuan Zeng, Liang Zhan, Bin Zhang, Feiyang Zhang, Han Zhang, Hangchang Zhang, Haosen Zhang, Honghao Zhang, Jialiang Zhang, Jiawen Zhang, Jie Zhang, Jingbo Zhang, Junwei Zhang, Lei Zhang, Ping Zhang, Qingmin Zhang, Rongping Zhang, Shiqi Zhang, Shuihan Zhang, Siyuan Zhang, Tao Zhang, Xiaomei Zhang, Xu Zhang, Xuantong Zhang, Yibing Zhang, Yinhong Zhang, Yiyu Zhang, Yongpeng Zhang, Yuanyuan Zhang, Yue Zhang, Yumei Zhang, Zhenyu Zhang, Zhicheng Zhang, Zhijian Zhang, Jie Zhao, Liang Zhao, Runze Zhao, Shujun Zhao, Hua Zheng, Yangheng Zheng, Li Zhou, Lishui Zhou, Shun Zhou, Xiang Zhou, Xing Zhou, Jingsen Zhu, Kangfu Zhu, Kejun Zhu, Bo Zhuang, Honglin Zhuang, Jiaheng Zou

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ✨ This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

Deep beneath the Earth's surface, hidden inside the planet's core and mantle, a slow, silent fire burns. This is not fire in the traditional sense of flames and oxygen, but a heat generated by the natural decay of ancient radioactive elements like uranium, thorium, and potassium. These elements have been present since the Earth formed, and as they break down over billions of years, they release energy that keeps the planet's interior molten and drives the movement of tectonic plates. While scientists have long tried to measure how much of this heat exists and where it is located, they have faced a major obstacle: the Earth is opaque to almost everything. Light cannot pass through rock, and seismic waves only tell part of the story. For decades, the only way to peer directly into the planet's radioactive heart has been to wait for the tiny, ghostly particles these decays produce to escape the Earth and reach the surface.

These particles are called geoneutrinos. They are nearly massless, electrically neutral, and interact so weakly with matter that trillions of them pass through your body every second without ever touching a single atom. Because they can travel straight out of the Earth's core without being blocked, they carry a direct message about the composition and heat budget of our planet's interior. Detecting them, however, is an immense challenge. They are so elusive that even the most sensitive instruments struggle to catch a few of them amidst a sea of other signals. The question of how much heat the Earth generates from these radioactive elements remains one of the great unsolved mysteries in geoscience, with different models predicting vastly different amounts of internal heat, which in turn changes our understanding of how the Earth formed and how it will evolve.

A new study by the Jiangmen Underground Neutrino Observatory, or JUNO, offers a transformative look at this problem. Located in a deep underground laboratory in southern China, JUNO is a massive detector filled with 20,000 tons of a special liquid that glows when a particle passes through it. The researchers behind this study have updated their predictions for what JUNO will see once it begins full operations, using the most current knowledge about the detector's performance and the environment around it. Their work suggests that JUNO will be able to collect a sample of geoneutrinos in less than a year that is as large as the entire collection of such particles gathered by every other experiment in the world combined over the last few decades. This leap in data volume promises to turn geoneutrino science from a field of rough estimates into one of high-precision measurement.

The primary goal of the study was to determine exactly how well JUNO can measure the total flow of these particles and, more importantly, to see if it can distinguish between the different types of radioactive elements producing them. The Earth's heat comes mainly from two sources: uranium and thorium. While they are often found together, they have different chemical behaviors and decay at different rates. Knowing the exact ratio between them is crucial for geologists, as it helps them understand how the Earth separated into its layers—core, mantle, and crust—billions of years ago. The researchers simulated the detector's performance over ten years, accounting for the fact that JUNO is situated very close to several large nuclear power plants. These plants also emit neutrinos, creating a significant background noise that the detector must filter out. Despite this challenge, the study shows that JUNO's superior size and precision will allow it to separate the faint signal of the Earth's natural decay from the intense signal of the nearby reactors.

The results indicate that within the first few years of operation, JUNO will measure the total geoneutrino signal with a precision comparable to the best existing experiments. Over a decade, this precision is expected to improve to about eight percent, a level of accuracy that has never been achieved before. This will allow scientists to test various models of the Earth's composition with a confidence that was previously impossible. The study further reveals that JUNO will be able to separate the contributions of uranium and thorium with unprecedented detail. While measuring the total signal is the first step, distinguishing between the two elements is the key to unlocking the history of the Earth's formation. The researchers found that after ten years, JUNO could determine the ratio of thorium to uranium with a precision of about twenty-two percent, providing a direct test of theories regarding the planet's early chemical makeup.

Perhaps the most ambitious goal addressed in the paper is the attempt to detect geoneutrinos coming specifically from the Earth's mantle, the thick layer of rock between the crust and the core. This is difficult because the signal from the crust directly beneath the detector is much stronger and carries its own uncertainties. The study shows that detecting the mantle signal is possible but challenging. If the Earth contains a high amount of radioactive elements in its mantle, JUNO could achieve a statistically significant detection of this deep signal within six years, provided that scientists can refine their understanding of the local crust to reduce uncertainties. If the mantle contains less heat, the detection will remain elusive for now. This distinction is vital because it will tell us whether the Earth's interior is rich in radioactive fuel or relatively poor, a question that has profound implications for the planet's thermal history.

The paper concludes that JUNO represents a new era for geoneutrino science. By combining massive statistics with refined analysis techniques, the experiment will provide the most stringent constraints to date on the Earth's radiogenic heat production. The findings will not only help geologists build better models of the Earth's interior but also offer a unique cross-check for neutrino physicists studying the fundamental properties of these elusive particles. As the detector begins to collect data, it will move the field from speculation to measurement, offering a clear, direct view into the radioactive engine that powers our planet. The ability to see the Earth's internal heat budget with such clarity will establish a new benchmark for understanding our home planet, bridging the gap between the physics of the very small and the geology of the very large.

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