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Hubble Astrometry for the Local Group and Beyond in the 2030s

This white paper advocates for leveraging Hubble Space Telescope's long-term astrometric baseline to transform archival data into precise proper motions for Local Group galaxies and beyond, thereby enabling transformative 3D dynamical studies of orbital histories, internal kinematics, and dark matter structures while laying the groundwork for future observatories.

Original authors: S. Tony Sohn, Paul Bennet, Kevin Andrew McKinnon, Roeland P. van der Marel, Mattia Libralato, Eduardo Vitral, Ekta Patel, Laura L. Watkins, Andres del Pino, Andrea Bellini, Massimo Griggio, Mark A. Fa
Published 2026-05-26
📖 5 min read🧠 Deep dive

Original authors: S. Tony Sohn, Paul Bennet, Kevin Andrew McKinnon, Roeland P. van der Marel, Mattia Libralato, Eduardo Vitral, Ekta Patel, Laura L. Watkins, Andres del Pino, Andrea Bellini, Massimo Griggio, Mark A. Fardal, Nitya Kallivayalil, Jack T. Warfield, Karoline M. Gilbert, Puragra Guhathakurta, Daniel Weisz, Andrew Wetzel, Andrew B. Pace, Marcel S. Pawlowski, Joshua D. Simon, Gurtina Besla, Erik Tollerud, Xiaowei Ou, Niusha Ahvazi, Anna Bonaca

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

The Big Idea: Taking a "Time-Lapse" Photo of the Universe

Imagine you are trying to figure out how a flock of birds is flying. If you take just one photo, you can see where they are, but you have no idea which way they are going or how fast. If you take a second photo an hour later, you can see they moved, but you still don't know their full path.

To truly understand their flight, you need a time-lapse video taken over many years.

This white paper argues that the Hubble Space Telescope (Hubble) is the only camera we have right now that can take these long-term "time-lapse" videos of stars in our cosmic neighborhood (the "Local Group"). By taking a second photo of stars that Hubble already photographed years ago, astronomers can measure exactly how those stars are moving sideways across the sky. This turns a static picture of the universe into a dynamic movie, revealing the hidden history of how galaxies form and move.

Why Hubble is the Only One Who Can Do This

Think of the sky as a crowded dance floor.

  • Ground Telescopes: These are like trying to watch the dance floor through a foggy window. You can see the big lights, but the "fog" (Earth's atmosphere) blurs the details, making it hard to track individual dancers.
  • The Gaia Satellite: This is like a high-speed drone that can see the brightest dancers very well, but it gets confused in the crowded corners of the dance floor and can't see the faint, dim dancers in the back.
  • Hubble: Hubble is like a super-steady camera floating in space, right above the dance floor. It has been taking photos for decades. Because it is so stable and has been around so long, it is the only one that can link a photo taken 20 years ago with a photo taken today to create a perfect, long-term time-lapse.

The "Missing Piece" of the Puzzle

For a long time, astronomers have known how fast stars are moving toward or away from us (like a car driving straight at you). But they didn't know how the stars were moving sideways (like a car driving across your field of view).

The paper says that knowing the sideways motion is the "missing piece" that solves the puzzle. Without it, we are like detectives trying to solve a crime with only half the clues. With Hubble's new measurements, we can finally see the full 3D path of these stars.

What We Will Learn (The "Detective Work")

By using this new "time-lapse" data, the paper claims we can answer four big questions:

  1. The Family Tree of Galaxies: We can tell if a small "dwarf" galaxy is a new visitor to our neighborhood or if it has been hanging out with the Milky Way for billions of years. It's like knowing if a new neighbor just moved in or if they are an old friend visiting for the weekend.
  2. The Invisible Skeleton (Dark Matter): Galaxies are held together by invisible "dark matter." By watching how the stars inside a galaxy wiggle and move, we can weigh the invisible skeleton holding them together. This helps us test if dark matter behaves the way scientists think it does.
  3. The Life Story of Stars: We can link a star's history (when it was born and how it formed) to its journey. Did it get kicked out of a galaxy? Did it get stripped of its gas? The sideways motion tells the story of how the galaxy changed over time.
  4. The Shape of the Neighborhood: By tracking streams of stars (like trails left by a comet), we can map the shape of the invisible "halo" of dark matter surrounding our galaxy, like tracing the shape of a wind current by watching leaves blow.

The Race Against Time

The paper emphasizes that this is urgent.

  • The "Golden Window": Hubble is getting older. If we don't take these second photos now, we might lose the chance to link them with the first photos taken 20 years ago.
  • The "Anchor" for the Future: Even though new, powerful telescopes (like the James Webb Space Telescope or the future Roman Telescope) are coming, they cannot go back in time to take the first photo. Hubble's current photos are the "anchor." If we don't take the second photo with Hubble now, future telescopes will never be able to create that perfect long-term time-lapse.

The Plan

The authors propose a simple, coordinated plan:

  1. Finish the Job: Go back to the galaxies Hubble already photographed years ago and take a new picture to complete the time-lapse.
  2. Start New Jobs: Take the very first picture of new, faint galaxies that haven't been studied yet, so future telescopes can start their own time-lapses later.
  3. Keep the Tools Working: Make sure Hubble's cameras (specifically ACS and WFC3) stay calibrated and working perfectly so the measurements remain accurate.

The Bottom Line

This paper is a call to action. It says: "We have the first half of the movie (the old photos). We have the camera (Hubble). Let's film the second half now before the camera breaks or the stars move too far to connect the dots."

Doing this will give us a complete, 3D map of our cosmic neighborhood, revealing the secrets of dark matter and the history of our galaxy, while also setting the stage for the next generation of space telescopes to build upon.

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