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Leverage Factors for Sustainable Rice-Fish Farming in Lebak Swamplands: A Participatory Prospective Analysis

Using Participatory Prospective Analysis in South Konawe, Indonesia, this study identifies extension services and water governance as primary leverage factors for sustainable rice-fish farming and proposes a moderate-collaborative intervention pathway to coordinate institutional, technological, and ecological improvements aligned with multiple SDG targets.

Original authors: Samsul Fyka, Usman Rianse, Lukman Yunus, Muhammad Limi

Published 2026-09-29
📖 5 min read🧠 Deep dive

Original authors: Samsul Fyka, Usman Rianse, Lukman Yunus, Muhammad Limi

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ✨ This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

In the seasonally flooded wetlands of Indonesia, known locally as lebak, farmers face a unique challenge: the land is either deeply submerged during the rainy season or dangerously dry when the rains stop. For decades, communities in these areas have practiced rice-fish farming, a method where rice and fish grow together in the same field. This integrated system offers more than just food; the fish help control pests and weeds, aerate the water with their movement, and recycle nutrients, potentially reducing the need for chemical fertilizers. However, simply knowing that this system works does not tell us how to make it work better for everyone. The real difficulty lies in understanding which specific conditions allow the system to thrive and which ones hold it back. Is the key to success better seeds, more pumps, or something less tangible like the way farmers organize themselves or how government experts guide them? Without a clear map of these relationships, development efforts often focus on the wrong problems, handing out equipment that cannot be maintained or expanding fields before the water management is ready.

To solve this puzzle, a team of researchers from Universitas Halu Oleo traveled to Epeesi Village in South Konawe Regency, a place where rice-fish farming has been established since 2009. Instead of just counting fish or measuring rice yields, they asked a different question: what are the most powerful levers that can pull the entire system toward a sustainable future? They gathered ten local experts, including village leaders, experienced farmers, and government extension agents, to map out how fifteen different factors influence one another. These factors ranged from the physical, like water availability and the use of water pumps, to the social and institutional, such as the role of agricultural advisors and the growth of farmer groups. The experts assessed how strongly each factor affected the others, creating a complex web of cause and effect that revealed which elements were the true drivers of success.

The analysis produced a clear hierarchy of importance, overturning the common assumption that technology is the primary solution. The most powerful factor, by a significant margin, was the presence and role of extension agents. These are the field workers who connect farmers with knowledge, training, and support. Their influence score was more than double that of the second-ranked factor, water availability. This finding suggests that even the best water pumps or improved seeds will fail if the farmers do not have the continuous guidance and coordination needed to use them effectively. Water availability and land utilization followed as the next most critical factors, highlighting that managing the seasonal flood and drought cycles is the second most important task. Only after these institutional and ecological foundations were considered did the list move to social factors like the number of farmers participating, and then to specific technologies such as improved seeds, water pumps, and paddlewheel aerators.

The researchers used these rankings to build a realistic plan for the next five years, which they call a moderate-collaborative pathway. This approach rejects the idea of trying to fix everything at once, which often leads to failure when local capacity is overwhelmed. Instead, it proposes a step-by-step sequence. The first year focuses on building the institutional base: clarifying who is responsible for what, establishing regular schedules for extension agents to visit the fields, and carefully diagnosing the specific water and land conditions of the area. Only after this foundation is laid does the plan move to a strengthening phase, where farmers are trained, and technologies like pumps and aerators are introduced selectively based on the specific needs identified during the diagnosis. The final phase involves integrating these successful practices into routine government planning and village life, ensuring they continue long after the initial project ends.

This study explicitly argues against the strategy of simply distributing equipment to farmers without first ensuring the supporting systems are in place. The data suggests that providing a water pump to a community without a plan for who will operate it, who will pay for fuel, or how it will be maintained is a wasted effort. Similarly, expanding the area of rice-fish farming before the water management capacity is ready can lead to crop failure. The research indicates that sustainable agriculture in these dynamic wetlands depends on a coordinated system where institutional support, water governance, and farmer participation function together. By prioritizing the human and organizational elements before the hardware, the proposed pathway offers a way to build a resilient food system that can adapt to the changing seasons and the needs of the community.

The implications of this work extend beyond the specific village studied. While the exact ranking of factors may differ in other locations, the method used to find them provides a valuable tool for any region facing complex agricultural challenges. The study maps its findings to broader global goals for sustainable development, showing how local improvements in extension services and water management can contribute to global targets for food security, clean water, and strong institutions. However, the authors are careful to note that these are potential pathways, not guaranteed outcomes. The plan remains a proposal based on expert judgment and local knowledge, waiting to be tested in the real world. The ultimate lesson is that in the complex, shifting environment of the lebak swamplands, success does not come from a single silver bullet, but from the careful, sequenced alignment of people, institutions, and the land they work.

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