📄 earth science

Distribution of marine climate refugia across OSPESCA member states: a historical perspective

This study analyzes historical data from 1993 to 2020 to map marine climate refugia across OSPESCA member states, revealing that these multi-stressor safe havens are rare, highly variable by country and depth, and concentrated in specific zones like surface shelf waters and deeper Caribbean areas.

Tayler McLellan Clarke, Fabio Quesada-Pérez, Johel Chaves-Campos, Lucía Vargas-Araya, Marina Marrari, Damián Martínez-Fe (…)2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Assessing the Evolution of Rainfall Trends in India through Historical Analysis, Forecasting, and Comparison with the CMIP-6 SSP585 Scenario

This study analyzes historical rainfall trends in India from 1901 to 2022 using statistical methods and neural networks to forecast future patterns, revealing significant regional decreases driven by atmospheric changes and predicting that future reductions will likely exceed the worst-case CMIP-6 SSP585 scenario, thereby posing critical challenges for agriculture and water resource management.

Anamika Joshi, Manish Kumar, Syed Irtiza Majid, Sourav Bhadwal, Akash Tiwari2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Genesis of Natural Gas in the Bozhong Sag, Bohai Sea: Constraints from Pyrolysis Experiments

Based on closed-system gold-tube pyrolysis experiments, this study demonstrates that deep natural gas in the Bozhong Sag is primarily generated from highly mature lacustrine sapropelic kerogen rather than coal-derived sources, challenging the assumption that heavy ethane isotopes necessarily indicate a humic origin.

Kuo Li, Long Su, Tao Ye, Tongyao Zhang, Peng Hao, Ge Yan, Haidong Wang2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Accounting for inter-tracer dependence in sediment source fingerprinting: a copula-based uncertainty framework

This study demonstrates that accounting for inter-tracer dependence using copula-based uncertainty frameworks, rather than assuming independence in Monte Carlo simulations, significantly improves the accuracy of sediment source fingerprinting and can alter the identification of leading sediment sources.

Meisam Samadi, Abdolreza Bahremand, Abolhasan Fathabadi, Ali Salajegheh, Majid Ownegh, Mohsen Hosseinalizadeh, Christian (…)2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Sacred Groves as Refuges for Summer Migratory Birds: Diversity, Abundance, Conservation Status and Land Use/Land Cover Dynamics in the Mangar-Bani Forest, Aravalli Landscape, India

This study documents the diversity, abundance, and conservation status of summer migratory birds in the Mangar-Bani Forest of the Aravalli Landscape, revealing a community dominated by Passeriformes and insectivores while highlighting significant habitat changes driven by land use dynamics and the urgent need for long-term conservation.

Deepak Rai, Anju anju2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Method-dependent spatiotemporal structure in Pacific Ring of Fire earthquake catalogs: a comparative benchmark and 2026 assessment

This study evaluates six clustering paradigms and a reference framework on Pacific Ring of Fire earthquake data to reveal that while the 2026 period showed no catalog-wide rate anomaly, it exhibited a statistically elevated tail of great earthquakes (M≥7.2) that nonetheless does not support deterministic prediction or cross-Pacific propagation.

Muh Akbar Idris2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Assessment of Global Wave Products Against Lagrangian Drifting Buoys in the Southern Ocean

This study evaluates five global wave products against 50 Spotter drifting buoys in the Southern Ocean, revealing that while the operational IFS forecast achieves the highest overall accuracy due to its coupled physics and fine resolution, the LOPS-WW3 hindcast offers superior performance in extreme storm regimes despite trade-offs in modal conditions.

Carla S. Leite, Pedro V. Guimarães, Ricardo M. Campos, Luciano Ponzi Pezzi, Marcelo Santini2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Seasonal Groundwater Quality, WAWQI Weighting Sensitivity and Untreated-Use

This study of Lamurde groundwater reveals that while conventional weighted indices suggest improved wet-season quality, their extreme sensitivity to weighting schemes—particularly the disproportionate influence of total chromium over critical pollutants like nitrate—masks severe seasonal contamination and underscores the necessity of non-compensatory warnings for decisive chemical and microbiological failures.

E. M. Kungwa, A. A. Adegbola, O. S. Olaniyan2026-09-09
📄 earth science

Columbia River plume intrusions drive episodic transport of larval Dungeness crab into the Salish Sea

This study demonstrates that episodic spring storms driving Columbia River plume intrusions are the primary mechanism for transporting Dungeness crab larvae approximately 400 km into the Salish Sea, a process occurring in roughly half of the years observed and governed by the interplay of poleward winds, river discharge, and tidal modulation.

Heather Gordon, A Mark Jellinek2026-09-09