📄 Category

earth_science

2353 papers

📄 earth science

Sub-seasonal predictability of winter tornado regimes in Europe captured through disruptions to the stratospheric polar vortex

This study demonstrates that sub-seasonal predictability of European winter tornado regimes can be achieved by combining stratospheric polar vortex disruptions with the East Atlantic pattern, which together modulate atmospheric conditions to either double the probability of extreme tornadic environments in southern Europe or suppress them across the continent.

Matthieu Lacroix, Flavio Tiago Couto, Yanni Gunnell2026-10-16
📄 earth science

Integrating Time Series, Remote Sensing and Computational Intelligence for Flood Prediction in a Data-Scarce Tropical Floodplain of the Lower Magdalena River Basin, Colombia

This study proposes a hybrid framework integrating remote sensing, spatial interpolation, dimensionality reduction, and computational intelligence models to effectively predict floods in the data-scarce Lower Magdalena River Basin, demonstrating that optimal performance requires variable-specific selection of interpolation and learning algorithms.

Jaime Alberto Parra-Plazas, Juan Sebastian Parra-Perdomo, Leonardo Plazas-Nossa2026-10-16
📄 earth science

​Mapping and assessing evapotranspiration using MODIS-based SEBAL for groundwater potential in the Sita–Swarna river basins, coastal Karnataka, India

This study utilizes MODIS-based SEBAL to map seasonal evapotranspiration patterns in the humid tropical Sita–Swarna river basins of coastal Karnataka, India, revealing that while the resulting spatial data aids groundwater recharge planning, high evapotranspiration rates alone are not a reliable proxy for groundwater potential.

Suresha K.J, Shaik Kabeer Ahmed, Jyothi D N, Anil Byndoor, Poojashree B2026-10-16
📄 earth science

Spatiotemporal Evolution of Vegetation and Its Climatic Driving Factors in Kezhou, Northwest China

This study analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of vegetation in Kezhou, Northwest China, from 2000 to 2020, revealing a slow overall improvement in vegetation cover and productivity that is primarily constrained by water availability, as evidenced by a significant post-2015 decline in Net Primary Productivity despite continued fractional vegetation cover gains.

Jianping Wang, Almazbek Arzybaev, Aynur Mamat, Aida Orozobekova2026-10-16
📄 earth science

Recurrence compression of post-monsoon rainfall hazard under Indian Ocean Dipole and ENSO variability: implications for flood risk and infrastructure reliability in Bangladesh

This study demonstrates that interannual climate variability, particularly negative phases of the Indian Ocean Dipole and ENSO, significantly compresses the recurrence intervals of extreme post-monsoon rainfall in Bangladesh, thereby increasing flood risk for infrastructure during specific service periods and supporting a risk-management framework based on climate-weighted reliability assessments rather than stationary assumptions.

Sadman Arshad2026-10-16
📄 earth science

Gendered Climate Vulnerability and Household Adaptation in Southwest Coastal Bangladesh: A Convergent Mixed-Methods Approach

This convergent mixed-methods study of 383 households in southwest coastal Bangladesh reveals that while higher gender-sensitive household vulnerability significantly reduces the likelihood and intensity of climate adaptation, effective policy must address material capacity deficits and gendered structural barriers to bridge the gap between risk awareness and adaptive action.

Mehedi Mudasser, Shovon Das, Md Rimu Mia, Md Zakir Hossain, Shaikh Nazmul Huda, ATM Zakir Hossain2026-10-16
📄 earth science

Evaluating impacts of linear transport infrastructure on wide ranging vertebrates in the Horn of Africa region

This study evaluates the impact of the LAPSSET transport corridor on threatened vertebrates in the Horn of Africa by integrating species distribution data and roadkill surveys to identify high-risk areas and recommend targeted mitigation strategies, such as fencing and wildlife crossings, to reduce mortality while maintaining ecological connectivity.

Abdullahi H. Ali, Haruki B. Mwangi, Adam G Mureithi, Mohamed H Ali, Edwin L Sangale2026-10-16