earth_science papers | Gist.Science

Freshwater Ecosystems Relative Disturbance to Identify Key Conservation Priorities in Water-stressed Countries

This paper presents a dynamic earth observation-based framework for assessing relative disturbance in freshwater ecosystems across northern African and western Asian countries, revealing widespread declines in Ramsar sites and surface water extent alongside increasing landscape transformations to guide conservation priorities and restoration strategies in water-stressed regions.

Vijaykumar Bejagam, Ibrahim Mohammed2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Natural Resources and Industry 5.0 as Levers for Sustainable Energy Transition: Policy Lessons from Emerging Markets

This study utilizes panel quantile analysis on emerging markets from 2000 to 2023 to demonstrate that while natural resource consumption initially hinders renewable energy adoption, its long-term sustainable management combined with Industry 5.0 innovations significantly accelerates the transition toward clean energy.

Mubasher Iqbal, Nawaz Ahmad, Muhammad Gulzar, Judit Oláh2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Can Satellite and Reanalysis Estimates Capture the Intra-Annual Structure of Localised Temperature Trends? Novel Diagnostic Metrics and Station Evidence from a Data-Sparse Tropical Region, with Implications for Climate Adaptation

This study evaluates the ability of satellite and reanalysis estimates (ERA5 and CHIRTS) to capture the intra-annual structure of localised temperature trends in Ghana by introducing novel diagnostic metrics (SS var and SPA), revealing significant biases in seasonal timing and warming intensity that necessitate trend-preserving bias correction before these datasets can be reliably used for climate adaptation planning in data-sparse tropical regions.

John Bagiliko, David Stern, Danny Parsons, Denis Ndanguza2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Better Together(?): A Textual Study of Coordination Between National Actors and C40 Cities

Through a textual analysis of 39 Nationally Determined Contributions and 65 city climate action plans, this study reveals that cross-level coordination between national and city actors remains limited, with Global South cities demonstrating higher rates of mutual inclusion in governance documents compared to their Global North counterparts.

Devon Cantwell-Chavez2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Climate drives ignition, firebreak limit spread and intensity: wildfire controls in semi-arid protected area in Chad

In Chad's Ouadi Rime–Ouadi Achim Faunal Reserve, wildfire ignition is primarily driven by climate-fuel interactions involving prior-year vegetation productivity and seasonal weather, while strategically positioned firebreaks effectively limit post-ignition spread and intensity without preventing ignition itself.

Caleb Ngaba Waye Taroum, Mamoudou Sow, Richard Tode, Habib Ali Hamid, Abba Eric, Magnus Onyiriagwu, Vladimir Wingate, Ga (…)2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Integrating Stocks, Collection and Treatment Pathways in an Urban Material Flow Analysis of Electrical and Electronic Equipment

This study employs Material Flow Analysis to quantify the lifecycle stocks and flows of Electrical and Electronic Equipment in London, revealing significant gaps in formal collection and reuse while demonstrating that targeted interventions in repair, remanufacturing, and collection could substantially advance circular economy goals.

Ana Outeirinho Morgado, Lucia Corsini2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

NAO-Driven AMOC Collapse through the Edge State using a Rare Event Approach

Using rare-event simulations with an intermediate complexity model, this study demonstrates that persistent negative North Atlantic Oscillation conditions can steer the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation toward a critical edge state, potentially triggering its collapse independently of further atmospheric forcing.

Arianna Magagna, Giuseppe Zappa, Matteo Cini, Susanna Corti2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Spatial interpolation alters heat-wave detection despite small temperature errors in data-sparse regions

This study demonstrates that while spatial interpolation methods like Inverse Distance Weighting may achieve acceptable predictive accuracy in data-sparse regions, they systematically reduce temperature variability and significantly alter the detection and duration of heat-wave events, suggesting that conventional error metrics are insufficient for evaluating their suitability in climate-risk assessments.

Fabiano Fernandes Bargos, Maurício Lamano Ferreira, Danúbia Caporusso Bargos2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Seismic response and postseismic stability of an investigation-constrained loess–mudstone slope

This study utilizes a 3D model derived from comprehensive geological investigations to demonstrate that a dry loess–mudstone slope in Tianshui exhibits non-monotonic seismic amplification and localized postseismic deformation driven by 3D wave focusing and strain softening, rather than failure along a continuous lithologic contact, thereby providing a robust basis for seismic assessment and management of similar transportation corridor slopes.

Lei Zhang, Chongliang Luo, Yufeng Bai2026-08-19

📄 earth_science

Stratospheric Winds Shape Winter Precipitation in the American Southwest

This study demonstrates that incorporating the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) of stratospheric winds into seasonal forecasts significantly improves early-winter precipitation predictions in the American Southwest, a region where traditional El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signals are currently weakest.

Gregory Egger, Thomas Reichler2026-08-19

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