1072 papers
This paper introduces a "construction-at-risk" framework demonstrating that broad financial conditions, particularly Chicago Fed measures, provide superior early-warning signals for downside risks in U.S. residential construction—specifically distinguishing between planning-stage permit declines and execution-stage start reductions—compared to traditional mortgage-rate benchmarks.
This paper proposes a probabilistic forecasting framework using Temporal Fusion Transformers for the volatile Italian electricity imbalance market, demonstrating that while deterministic accuracy is limited, the model's primary value lies in its ability to provide calibrated risk bands and interpretable insights for effective risk management.
Despite the CFPB Financial Well-Being Scale's high reliability, approximately 40% of its variance remains unexplained by observed financial positions or demographics, revealing that the instrument captures subjective factors like temperament and life satisfaction which cause the scale's comparative meanings and confidence levels to vary significantly depending on the specific groups being analyzed.
This study of 190 UK food manufacturing professionals reveals that process validation effectiveness serves as a critical mediating mechanism that translates lean capabilities and sustainability leadership into resource efficiency, suggesting that manufacturers should prioritize validation-embedded continuous improvement and leadership over standalone equipment investments.
Using World Bank Global Findex 2025 data, this study reveals that persistent gender gaps in digital financial access and usage across East Africa are primarily driven by disparities in socioeconomic and digital endowments rather than unexplained structural barriers, with Kenya showing the narrowest gaps and Ethiopia the widest.
This study utilizes 1990–2024 time-series data and ARDL modeling to demonstrate that digitalisation and urbanisation in Tanzania exhibit synergistic effects that mutually reinforce economic growth, with internet usage and mobile subscriptions significantly driving urban expansion while GDP per capita Granger-causes urbanisation.
This study analyzes operational data from Port Botany to quantify the temporal alignment between truck booking timeslots and vessel schedules, revealing significant commodity-specific sensitivities—particularly for dangerous goods—and providing an interactive prediction tool to optimize terminal appointment systems and demand management policies.
This study employs the novel Adjusted Market Inefficiency Magnitude (AMIM) approach to analyze daily returns of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium from late 2019 to mid-2026, revealing that while all four metals generally support the weak-form efficient market hypothesis, their efficiency dynamics vary significantly across pandemic and post-pandemic regimes, with palladium consistently showing the lowest efficiency and silver being the only asset to improve its efficiency in the post-pandemic era.
Using data from the APEAF survey and employing selection probit and propensity score matching models, this study finds that while Côte d'Ivoire's public internship policy positively influences graduates' access to decent employment by approximately 6.65% through signaling to employers, the overall probability remains limited despite the benefits of higher education degrees.
Drawing on literature and practitioner insights from major European science organizations, this paper argues that while public procurement is a potent but underutilized driver of innovation in Big Science, overcoming the binding constraints of capacity, culture, and political will through improved governance and measurement frameworks is essential to unlocking its full socio-economic potential.