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Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Optimal Control of a Two-Stage Infection-Age Structured Epidemic Model with Nonlocal Diffusion, Chemotactic Avoidance, and Intermittent Control Strategies

This paper establishes a novel two-stage infection-age epidemic model incorporating nonlocal diffusion, chemotactic avoidance, and waning immunity to prove global stability of equilibria and develop a bilevel optimal control framework with intermittent strategies that, validated by Berlin data, demonstrates the superiority of spatially targeted interventions over uniform approaches.

Yuhao zhou2026-08-28
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Dense Truths, Sparse Estimators: Making Lasso Work for Dense-Signal Logistic Regression

This paper challenges the conventional preference for Ridge regression in dense-signal high-dimensional settings by demonstrating that Lasso's underperformance stems from suboptimal tuning rather than inherent flaws, and introduces a novel posterior-predictive penalty selector that enables Lasso to achieve predictive accuracy comparable to or exceeding Ridge regression while retaining its crucial variable selection capabilities.

Jason Liao2026-08-28
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An Examination of the Performance of Variance Estimators in International Large-Scale Assessments

This Monte Carlo simulation study evaluates the performance of BRR, JK2, and Bootstrapping variance estimators in international large-scale assessments, finding that while JK2 offers superior precision for smooth statistics like means, Bootstrapping and BRR are more accurate for non-smooth statistics, and that Fay adjustments and non-response handling significantly influence estimator reliability.

Umut Atasever, Sabine Meinck, Diego Cortes2026-08-27
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Inverse Target Trial Emulation: A Method to Simulate Realistic Observational Data

This paper introduces Inverse Target Trial Emulation (ITTE), a Bayesian framework that generates realistic observational datasets from randomized controlled trial data by systematically inducing confounding and time-related biases, thereby enabling the rigorous evaluation and comparison of analytical strategies for adjusting these biases in non-randomized health research.

Luca Benetti, Gianluca Baio, Anna Heath2026-08-27
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What does Retraction Watch's "computer-generated content" reason capture? A metadata analysis of 9,161 retractions

This metadata analysis of 9,161 retractions reveals that the "computer-generated content" reason in Retraction Watch is heavily concentrated in a single publisher and strongly associated with paper mills, but these patterns reflect co-coding practices rather than providing definitive evidence about the actual presence of generative AI in the retracted articles.

Jonas Mandalunes2026-08-27
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A New Generated Class: Theory and Inference with Application to Daily COVID-19 Cases in Region Aseer, Saudi Arabia

This paper introduces a flexible trigonometric-generated family of distributions, specifically a parsimonious NewWeibull special case, which is mathematically validated through theoretical derivations and Monte Carlo simulations to effectively model heterogeneous outbreak data, outperforming existing models when applied to daily COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia's Aseer Region.

Muhammad Arshad, Ali Algarni2026-08-27