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From Willingness to Implementation Readiness: Household and Institutional Capacity for Forest-Carbon Pilots in Vietnam

This study of forest-dependent households and officials in Vietnam reveals a significant gap between high willingness to participate in forest-carbon pilots and the limited practical capacity to implement them, highlighting the critical need for targeted training, improved data infrastructure, and staged, performance-tested pilots before scaling up such initiatives.

Original authors: Hong Linh Dinh, Nguyen Thanh Vu

Published 2026-09-04
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Original authors: Hong Linh Dinh, Nguyen Thanh Vu

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

In the forests of Vietnam, a new kind of economy is taking root, one where trees are valued not just for their wood, but for the carbon dioxide they pull from the air. Governments and international groups are creating systems to pay landowners to keep their forests standing, turning the invisible act of storing carbon into a tradable asset. For this system to work, it relies on a simple promise: if a farmer agrees to protect their trees, they must be able to prove it. This proof requires them to take photos, record locations, and report data using digital tools, a process known as measurement, reporting, and verification. The hope is that local communities will become the eyes and ears of this global effort, providing the ground-level evidence needed to make carbon credits real and trustworthy. However, a crucial question remains: does a farmer's willingness to join such a program mean they are actually ready to do the work?

A team of researchers from Thai Nguyen University set out to answer this question in Quang Ninh Province, a mountainous and coastal region in northeastern Vietnam where many families depend on the forest for their livelihood. They wanted to see if the enthusiasm for these new carbon projects matched the practical ability to carry them out. To find out, they surveyed five hundred households living near the forest and one hundred public officials who manage the land. The researchers did not just ask if people wanted to participate; they asked if they understood how the carbon market worked and if they felt confident using the specific mobile applications required to report their data. They also checked for the basic tools needed, such as smartphones and reliable internet signals in the forest.

The results revealed a significant gap between desire and ability. While the average household expressed a strong desire to join a pilot program, their actual readiness was much lower. On a scale of one to five, the willingness to participate scored high, but the score for understanding the transaction and the confidence to use the reporting tools was considerably lower. When the researchers looked at the households individually, they found that only about twenty-four percent of them were both willing and fully capable of doing the work. A much larger group, roughly thirty-seven percent, was eager to join but lacked the necessary skills or understanding. Another thirty-nine percent were neither willing nor ready. This means that if a program were to recruit participants based solely on who said "yes," it would likely end up with a group that cannot actually deliver the required data.

The study also highlighted that having a smartphone is not the same as having the capacity to do digital forestry work. Nearly ninety-five percent of the households owned a smartphone, yet fewer than half reported having a good mobile signal at their forest sites. Furthermore, only about thirty-eight percent had received any previous training in forestry. The researchers found that the ability to participate was not just a matter of individual skill; it was deeply tied to the specific location. Households in the same villages tended to have similar levels of readiness, suggesting that local conditions like internet coverage, the presence of trained staff, and the strength of local organizations mattered more than individual household traits.

Public officials echoed these findings from their side of the table. They reported that their own staff often lacked adequate training in the technical systems needed to verify carbon credits and that monitoring equipment was frequently insufficient. Despite these shortages, nearly all officials agreed that investing in training, better data systems, and small-scale pilot projects was essential. They did not see a lack of interest as the problem; rather, they identified a clear need to build the technical and organizational foundation before expanding the programs.

The researchers concluded that the path forward requires a shift in strategy. Instead of assuming that a willing farmer is a ready partner, programs must first diagnose the local capacity. This means ensuring that the necessary tools, such as offline-capable software that works without constant internet, are available. It also means creating a tiered system where simple observations are made by households, but these are supported by trained local monitors who can check the work and handle the more complex technical steps. The study suggests that before scaling up to a national level, there must be a period of testing and learning, where the rules for sharing benefits are clear and the data quality is verified. The enthusiasm of the forest-dependent people is a strong starting point, but it is only the beginning of a much longer process that requires building trust, skills, and reliable systems to turn that interest into credible, lasting action.

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