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Temperature extremes constrain climate-sensitive life traits and reveal genetic correlates of thermal tolerance in the malaria mosquito Anopheles coluzzii

This study demonstrates that acute temperature extremes significantly constrain survival and development across all immature stages of the malaria mosquito *Anopheles coluzzii*, identifying specific thermal thresholds and linking heat tolerance to the 2La chromosomal inversion and the 1014F *vgsc* kdr mutation.

Original authors: Hassana A. Abdulrahman, Umar Aminu, Hadizat E. Kadir, Muhammad M. Mukhtar, Yusuf Y. Aliyu, Shuaibu Adamu, Abdoul-Nasser H. Sanda, Kasim Abdulrahman, Ashiru A. Zainulabidin, Udoka C. Nwangwu, Usman Abd
Published 2026-09-22✓ Author reviewed ⓘ
📖 5 min read🧠 Deep dive

Original authors: Hassana A. Abdulrahman, Umar Aminu, Hadizat E. Kadir, Muhammad M. Mukhtar, Yusuf Y. Aliyu, Shuaibu Adamu, Abdoul-Nasser H. Sanda, Kasim Abdulrahman, Ashiru A. Zainulabidin, Udoka C. Nwangwu, Usman Abdulrasheed, Ibrahim W. Zubair, Musbahu A. Sani, Isa A. Baba, Charles S. Wondji, Sulaiman S. Ibrahim

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ⚕️ This is an AI-generated explanation of a preprint that has not been peer-reviewed. It is not medical advice. Do not make health decisions based on this content. Read full disclaimer

The world is getting warmer, and this shift is reshaping the lives of the creatures that share our planet. For insects like mosquitoes, which rely on the temperature of their surroundings to regulate their own body heat, even small changes can mean the difference between thriving and dying. These tiny animals are not just passive victims of the weather; they are constantly adapting, using their genes to survive in environments that are becoming increasingly extreme. Understanding how they cope with heat and cold is crucial because some mosquitoes carry diseases like malaria, which still claims hundreds of thousands of lives every year, particularly in Africa. If we want to predict where these diseases might spread or fade in a warming future, we first need to know exactly how the mosquitoes themselves respond to temperature swings. We need to know which parts of their life cycle are most fragile, which temperatures they can withstand, and whether their genetic makeup gives them an edge in the heat.

A team of researchers set out to answer these questions by studying Anopheles coluzzii, a primary carrier of malaria in West Africa. Instead of relying on mosquitoes that have lived in laboratories for many generations, where they might have lost some of their natural resilience, the scientists collected wild mosquitoes from rice paddies in Nigeria. They then subjected the eggs, larvae, and pupae of these wild mosquitoes to a series of short, intense temperature shocks. They placed groups of these young mosquitoes into water baths set to temperatures ranging from freezing cold at 0°C to scorching heat at 43°C, holding them there for just one hour. Afterward, they watched closely to see how many survived, how many managed to grow into the next stage, and how many successfully emerged as adult mosquitoes. The goal was to map out the precise limits of their survival and to see if specific genetic traits helped some individuals live through conditions that killed others.

The results painted a clear picture of vulnerability and resilience across the different life stages. The eggs proved to be the most sensitive to heat. While they hatched best at a comfortable 23.6°C, their ability to hatch dropped sharply as temperatures rose. At 38°C, very few eggs survived, and by the time the water reached 41°C, no eggs hatched at all. Cold was also a major threat, with freezing temperatures significantly reducing the number of eggs that could hatch. The larvae, which are the swimming, worm-like stage, showed a similar pattern but could tolerate slightly higher heat than the eggs. Their survival was optimal around 24.6°C. When exposed to 43°C, none of the larvae survived, and even at 0°C, more than half of them died. However, the larvae that did survive a heat shock often suffered long-term consequences; fewer of them turned into pupae, and even fewer of those pupae managed to become adult mosquitoes.

The pupae, the stage where the mosquito transforms inside a protective casing, turned out to be the toughest of the three. They could withstand a wider range of temperatures than the eggs or larvae. While extreme heat still killed them, they survived temperatures up to 42°C better than the younger stages did. This suggests that as the mosquito develops, it becomes slightly more resistant to thermal stress. The researchers also found that the heat experienced by the larvae had a "carry-over" effect. Even if a larva survived a hot day, it was less likely to successfully pupate or emerge as an adult, meaning that a single heatwave could reduce the number of mosquitoes reaching adulthood by more than half.

Beyond just measuring survival, the scientists looked inside the genes of the mosquitoes that lived and the ones that died to find the biological reasons behind their fates. They focused on two specific genetic features known to vary in mosquito populations. The first was a large rearrangement of chromosomes called the 2La inversion. They found that the mosquitoes that survived the extreme heat of 41°C were much more likely to carry this specific genetic arrangement than the ones that died at 38°C. In fact, the vast majority of the heat-tolerant larvae had this genetic trait, suggesting it acts as a shield against high temperatures. The second feature they examined was a specific mutation in a gene that controls how nerve cells fire, known as the 1014F kdr mutation. This mutation is famous for helping mosquitoes resist insecticides, but its role in heat tolerance was less clear. The study revealed that the mosquitoes that survived the heat were more likely to be heterozygous for this mutation, meaning they carried one copy of the resistant gene and one copy of the normal gene. Those that died were more likely to have two copies of the resistant gene or two copies of the normal gene, suggesting that having a mix of the two might be the key to surviving extreme heat.

These findings offer a detailed look at how a major malaria vector copes with the thermal extremes that climate change is bringing. The study confirms that while mosquitoes have some genetic tools to handle heat, there are hard limits. Once temperatures climb past 42°C, the survival of larvae and pupae effectively stops, and the eggs are even more fragile. The research also highlights that the ability to survive is not just about the immediate temperature but is deeply tied to the genetic makeup of the population. The presence of the 2La inversion and the specific mix of the kdr mutation appear to be critical factors in determining which mosquitoes live and which perish. This knowledge helps scientists build better models to predict how mosquito populations will change as the world warms, which is essential for planning how to control malaria in the decades to come.

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