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Persistent Enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) Rains over Luzon in July and August 2026: The Combined Role of a Stalled Madden–Julian Oscillation and El Niño

This study attributes the severe and prolonged southwest monsoon rains over Luzon in July–August 2026 to a stalled Madden–Julian Oscillation in Phases 6–7, which was anchored by a perturbed Walker circulation and subsequently generated a stationary monsoon gyre that drove intense moisture convergence and orographic lifting over the Zambales Range.

Original authors: Gerry Bagtasa

Published 2026-10-06
📖 1 min read☕ Coffee break read

Original authors: Gerry Bagtasa

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ✨ This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

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