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Probability-based storylines of unprecedented tropical cyclones impacting Southern Africa

This study presents the first comprehensive, high-resolution assessment of future tropical cyclone risks in Southern Africa, utilizing probability-based storylines to illustrate unprecedented scenarios like Category 5 landfalls and guide adaptation strategies for unprecedented events.

Original authors: Elizabeth Kendon, Joshua Macholl, Daniel Green, Helen Titley, Mikki Korodimou, Alexander Baker, Rachel James, Alan Kennedy-Asser, Genito Maure, Percy Muofhe, Bernardino Nhantumbo, James Pagona, Zo Rak
Published 2026-10-15
📖 1 min read☕ Coffee break read

Original authors: Elizabeth Kendon, Joshua Macholl, Daniel Green, Helen Titley, Mikki Korodimou, Alexander Baker, Rachel James, Alan Kennedy-Asser, Genito Maure, Percy Muofhe, Bernardino Nhantumbo, James Pagona, Zo Rakotomavo, Jessica Steinkopf, Charles Vanya, Francois Engelbrecht

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ✨ This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

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